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Sturm Graz vs Celje

Sturm Graz vs Celje Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Europa League - Season 2026/2027 League Stage (Group Stage) (Round 4)

Shot-shy

Sturm Graz failed to score in 5 of their last 8 (league 27%).

5/8Failed to score · Sturm Graz

Get our AI football prediction and stats for Sturm Graz vs Celje: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.

Sturm Graz vs Celje — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Europa League

For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Sturm Graz to win

Our model 45%Bookmakers 61%

Our track record

In 3,620 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.3% of the time (bookmakers said 47.0%).

Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.

Sturm Graz vs Celje — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market

Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Sturm Graz vs Celje. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.

Europa League - Europe

Sturm Graz–

Celje–

Winner

1X 69%

BTTS*

Yes 53%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 54%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 58%

Europa League - Europe

Sturm Graz–

Celje–

Winner

1X 69%

BTTS*

Yes 53%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 54%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 58%

Full Time

145%

X25%

231%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	23%	77%	46%	54%	58%	42%	80%	20%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	23%	77%	46%	54%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	58%	42%	80%	20%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	25%	75%	56%	44%	79%	21%	92%	8%
	35%	65%	67%	33%	86%	14%	95%	5%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	25%	75%	56%	44%
	35%	65%	67%	33%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	79%	21%	92%	8%
	86%	14%	95%	5%

1st Half

131%

X39%

230%

1st Score

149%

X6%

245%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

24%

2-2

22%

X-X

14%

X-1

13%

X-2

13%

2-X

1-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

11.3%

1-0

9.5%

2-1

8.5%

2-0

7.5%

0-1

7.2%

1-2

6.8%

0-0

6.4%

2-2

5.2%

0-2

4.5%

3-1

4.3%

3-0

4.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Sturm Graz vs Celje: the stats that stand out

Europa League

Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.

How to read it

the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%

Sturm Graz: shot-shy, brick wall and slow starters

Shot-shy

5/8

Sturm Graz failed to score in 5 of their last 8 (league 27%).

Brick wall

4/8

Sturm Graz kept 4 clean sheets in their last 8 (league 27%).

Slow starters

2/8

Sturm Graz scored first in only 2 of their last 8 (league 48%).

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.

How we measure →

Sturm Graz vs Celje: Over 2.5 & BTTS?

Europa League

How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.

How to read it

a game where it happenedleague averageup to 10 recent Europa League gamesBTTS = both teams scored

Both teams score in Sturm Graz games less often than the Europa League average (50%).

Over 2.5 goalsleague 57%

Sturm Graz3 of 8

BTTSleague 50%

Sturm Graz1 of 8

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 189 games played here in the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Sturm Graz vs Celje corners, cards and goal times

Europa League

Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.

How to read it

league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameSturm Graz: last 8 with these statsPro · free for now

Goal times close to the Europa League average

Sturm Graz

Celje

3.0

Corners won · league 4.6

–

5.0

Corners conceded · league 4.6

–

2.4

Cards · league 2.0

–

2.1

Opponents' cards · league 2.0

–

67%

Goals before half-time · league 48%

–

33%

Goals after 75' · league 21%

–

33%

Conceded before half-time · league 48%

–

33%

Conceded after 75' · league 21%

–

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Sturm Graz

1/3

Celje

1/3

Both Teams to Score

Sturm Graz

1/3

Celje

1/3

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Sturm Graz

0/3

Celje

2/3

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Sturm Graz

3/3

Celje

2/3

First Half Result

Sturm Graz

1/3

Celje

1/3

Correct Score

Sturm Graz

0/3

Celje

0/3

correct predictionwrong prediction