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Benfica vs Lech Poznań

Benfica vs Lech Poznań Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Europa League - Season 2026/2027 League Stage (Group Stage) (Round 4)

Get our AI football prediction and stats for Benfica vs Lech Poznań: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.

Benfica vs Lech Poznań — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Europa League

For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Benfica to win

Our model 66%Bookmakers 78%

Our track record

In 615 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 70.2% of the time (bookmakers said 70.9%).

Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.

Benfica vs Lech Poznań — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market

Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Benfica vs Lech Poznań. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.

Europa League - Europe

Benfica–

Lech Poznań–

Winner

1 66%

BTTS*

Yes 54%

Correct Score

2-0 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 61%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 50%

Europa League - Europe

Benfica–

Lech Poznań–

Winner

1 66%

BTTS*

Yes 54%

Correct Score

2-0 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 61%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 50%

Full Time

166%

X19%

215%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	18%	82%	39%	61%	50%	50%	73%	27%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	18%	82%	39%	61%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	50%	50%	73%	27%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	12%	88%	36%	64%	62%	38%	81%	19%
	50%	50%	80%	20%	94%	6%	98%	2%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	12%	88%	36%	64%
	50%	50%	80%	20%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	62%	38%	81%	19%
	94%	6%	98%	2%

1st Half

151%

X34%

215%

1st Score

168%

X4%

227%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

45%

X-1

20%

X-X

2-2

X-2

1-X

2-1

2-X

1-2

Correct Score

2-0

10.2%

2-1

9.8%

1-0

9.7%

1-1

8.9%

3-0

7.3%

3-1

6.8%

2-2

4.8%

0-0

4.2%

0-1

4.0%

1-2

3.9%

3-2

3.7%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Lech Poznań

2/5

Benfica

5/5

Both Teams to Score

Lech Poznań

2/5

Benfica

4/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Lech Poznań

4/5

Benfica

4/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Lech Poznań

1/5

Benfica

1/5

First Half Result

Lech Poznań

1/5

Benfica

4/5

Correct Score

Lech Poznań

1/5

Benfica

0/5

correct predictionwrong prediction