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Levski Sofia vs Salzburg

Levski Sofia vs Salzburg 0-1 Score & Prediction Review

Europa League - Season 2026/2027 League Stage (Group Stage) (Round 1)

Fair result

Levski Sofia

0–1

Salzburg

1.1Chances (xG)1.7

On these chances Levski Sofia would usually take 1.0 points and Salzburg 1.7; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Salzburg.

Levski Sofia −1.0 pts vs chancesSalzburg +1.3 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Levski Sofia vs Salzburg stats: how the match was played

Europa League

Salzburg had more than twice the shots on target

Levski Sofia

Salzburg

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

50%

Possession

50%

The match between Levski Sofia and Salzburg ended 0-1. Our AI model correctly predicted an Salzburg win with 44% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Salzburg – Milan prediction & betting tips (Oct 15, 2026).

Levski Sofia vs Salzburg — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Europa League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Salzburg to win

Correct

Our model 44%Bookmakers 47%

Our track record

In 3,483 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 46.7% of the time (bookmakers said 46.9%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong

Our model 51%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 6,314 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Over 2.5 goals.

Our model 51%Bookmakers 43%

Our track record

In 2,766 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 73%Bookmakers 64%

Our track record

In 4,427 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.3% of the time (bookmakers said 71.7%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

Our model 39%Bookmakers 39%

Our track record

In 1,967 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 40.4% of the time (bookmakers said 41.2%).

Levski Sofia Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Levski Sofia 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 70%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 2,625 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.9% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).

Salzburg Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Salzburg 0–1 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Salzburg 2+ goals.

Our model 58%Bookmakers 49%

Our track record

In 589 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 45.3% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 44.6% than to our 55–60%.

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Levski Sofia vs Salzburg 0-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Levski Sofia vs Salzburg. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Europa League - Europe

Levski Sofia0

Salzburg1

Winner

X2 69%

BTTS*

Yes 51%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 51%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 63%

· FT

Europa League - Europe

Levski Sofia0

Salzburg1

Winner

X2 69%

BTTS*

Yes 51%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 51%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 63%

Full Time

131%

X25%

244%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	26%	74%	51%	49%	63%	37%	84%	16%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	26%	74%	51%	49%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	63%	37%	84%	16%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	36%	64%	70%	30%	89%	11%	96%	4%
	27%	73%	58%	42%	81%	19%	93%	7%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	36%	64%	70%	30%
	27%	73%	58%	42%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	89%	11%	96%	4%
	81%	19%	93%	7%

1st Half

123%

X39%

238%

1st Score

145%

X8%

247%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

30%

X-X

16%

1-1

15%

X-1

13%

X-2

12%

1-X

1-2

2-X

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

11.7%

0-1

9.8%

1-2

9.2%

1-0

8.8%

0-0

7.8%

0-2

7.5%

2-1

7.0%

2-0

5.0%

2-2

4.9%

1-3

4.1%

0-3

3.8%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Levski Sofia vs Salzburg — Recent Form

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Salzburg

4/5

Levski Sofia

1/1

Both Teams to Score

Salzburg

1/5

Levski Sofia

0/1

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Salzburg

3/5

Levski Sofia

1/1

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Salzburg

4/5

Levski Sofia

1/1

First Half Result

Salzburg

1/5

Levski Sofia

0/1

Correct Score

Salzburg

0/5

Levski Sofia

0/1

correct predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Salzburg – Milan prediction & betting tips (Oct 15, 2026).