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Olympique Lyonnais vs Crystal Palace

Olympique Lyonnais vs Crystal Palace 3-2 Score & Prediction Review

Europa League - Season 2026/2027 League Stage (Group Stage) (Round 2)

Fair result

Olympique Lyonnais

3–2

Crystal Palace

1.2Chances (xG)1.4

On these chances Olympique Lyonnais would usually take 1.3 points and Crystal Palace 1.5; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Crystal Palace.

Olympique Lyonnais +1.8 pts vs chancesCrystal Palace −1.5 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Olympique Lyonnais vs Crystal Palace stats: how the match was played

Europa League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Olympique Lyonnais

Crystal Palace

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

50%

Possession

50%

The match between Olympique Lyonnais and Crystal Palace ended 3-2. Our AI model correctly predicted a Olympique Lyonnais win with 53% confidence before kick-off. A strong performance overall — our model hit all 4 key markets for this fixture, correctly calling Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Crystal Palace – TSG Hoffenheim prediction & betting tips (Nov 5, 2026).

Olympique Lyonnais vs Crystal Palace — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Europa League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Olympique Lyonnais to win

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Crystal Palace to win.

Our model 53%Bookmakers 34%

Our track record

In 111 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 27.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.5% than to our 50–55%.

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct

Our model 62%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 2,474 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.6% of the time (bookmakers said 61.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct

Our model 65%Bookmakers 59%

Our track record

In 1,158 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 57%Bookmakers 61%

Our track record

In 944 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.6% of the time (bookmakers said 59.9%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Olympique Lyonnais ahead at half-time

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Draw at half-time.

Our model 42%Bookmakers 30%

Our track record

In 2,250 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.7% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.

Olympique Lyonnais Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Olympique Lyonnais 2+ goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Olympique Lyonnais 0–1 goals.

Our model 57%Bookmakers 49%

Our track record

In 1,020 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 44.9% than to our 55–60%.

Crystal Palace Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Crystal Palace 0–1 goals

Wrong

Our model 67%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 3,287 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.1% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Olympique Lyonnais vs Crystal Palace 3-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Olympique Lyonnais vs Crystal Palace. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Europa League - Europe

Olympique Lyonnais3

Crystal Palace2

Winner

1 53%

BTTS*

Yes 62%

Correct Score

1-1 09%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 65%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 53%

· FT

Europa League - Europe

Olympique Lyonnais3

Crystal Palace2

Winner

1 53%

BTTS*

Yes 62%

Correct Score

1-1 09%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 65%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 53%

Full Time

153%

X22%

225%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	16%	84%	35%	65%	47%	53%	72%	28%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	16%	84%	35%	65%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	47%	53%	72%	28%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	17%	83%	43%	57%	68%	32%	85%	15%
	37%	63%	67%	33%	86%	14%	95%	5%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	17%	83%	43%	57%
	37%	63%	67%	33%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	68%	32%	85%	15%
	86%	14%	95%	5%

1st Half

142%

X37%

221%

1st Score

163%

X4%

233%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

36%

X-1

18%

2-2

13%

X-X

12%

X-2

2-X

1-X

2-1

1-2

Correct Score

1-1

9.4%

2-1

9.4%

1-0

7.1%

2-0

6.9%

2-2

6.3%

1-2

6.3%

3-1

5.9%

3-0

5.1%

0-1

4.7%

3-2

4.0%

0-0

3.8%

0-2

3.0%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Olympique Lyonnais vs Crystal Palace — Recent Form

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Olympique Lyonnais

2/3

Crystal Palace

1/3

Both Teams to Score

Olympique Lyonnais

2/3

Crystal Palace

2/3

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Olympique Lyonnais

2/3

Crystal Palace

3/3

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Olympique Lyonnais

2/3

Crystal Palace

0/3

First Half Result

Olympique Lyonnais

1/3

Crystal Palace

2/3

Correct Score

Olympique Lyonnais

0/3

Crystal Palace

0/3

correct predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Crystal Palace – TSG Hoffenheim prediction & betting tips (Nov 5, 2026).