Sparta Praha vs Lillestrøm Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Europa League - Season 2026/2027 League Stage (Group Stage) (Round 2)
Sparta Praha vs Lillestrøm — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Europa League
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Sparta Praha to win
Our track record
In 2,419 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.5% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our track record
In 5,493 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.9% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our track record
In 3,006 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.5%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our track record
In 2,285 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.3% of the time (bookmakers said 62.9%).
Our model’s pick
Sparta Praha ahead at half-time
Our track record
In 6,503 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.8% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).
Our model’s pick
Sparta Praha 2+ goals
Our track record
In 2,713 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.2% of the time (bookmakers said 58.6%).
Our model’s pick
Lillestrøm 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 3,162 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.1% of the time (bookmakers said 67.8%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Sparta Praha vs Lillestrøm — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Sparta Praha vs Lillestrøm. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Sparta Praha–
Lillestrøm–Winner
1 53%
BTTS*
Yes 58%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 61%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 52%
Sparta Praha–Lillestrøm–Winner
1 53%
BTTS*
Yes 58%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 61%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 52%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 18% | 82% | 39% | 61% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 52% | 48% | 75% | 25% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 19% | 81% | 46% | 54% |
 | 39% | 61% | 69% | 31% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 70% | 30% | 86% | 14% |
| 89% | 11% | 96% | 4% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
39%
X-1
15%
2-2
14%
X-X
12%
X-2
6%
1-X
4%
2-X
4%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-1
9.9%
2-1
9.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-0
7.3%
1-2
6.0%
2-2
5.7%
3-0
5.5%
3-1
5.3%
0-1
5.3%
0-0
4.8%
3-2
4.2%
0-2
3.5%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
LillestrømSparta PrahaBoth Teams to Score
LillestrømSparta PrahaOver/Under 2.5 Goals
LillestrømSparta PrahaOver/Under 3.5 Goals
LillestrømSparta PrahaFirst Half Result
LillestrømSparta PrahaCorrect Score
LillestrømSparta Praha