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Dinamo Zagreb vs Anderlecht

Dinamo Zagreb vs Anderlecht 1-0 Score & Prediction Review

Europa League - Season 2026/2027 League Stage (Group Stage) (Round 2)

Fair result

Dinamo Zagreb

1–0

Anderlecht

2.0Chances (xG)1.3

On these chances Dinamo Zagreb would usually take 1.8 points and Anderlecht 1.0; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Dinamo Zagreb.

Dinamo Zagreb +1.2 pts vs chancesAnderlecht −1.0 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Dinamo Zagreb vs Anderlecht stats: how the match was played

Europa League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Anderlecht had more than twice the shots on target

Dinamo Zagreb

Anderlecht

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

45%

Possession

55%

The match between Dinamo Zagreb and Anderlecht ended 1-0. Our AI model correctly predicted a Dinamo Zagreb win with 56% confidence before kick-off. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Full-Time Result — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Anderlecht – Salzburg prediction & betting tips (Nov 5, 2026).

Dinamo Zagreb vs Anderlecht — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Europa League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Dinamo Zagreb to win

Correct

Our model 56%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 1,799 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.4% of the time (bookmakers said 61.2%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong

Our model 57%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 5,699 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.9% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 63%Bookmakers 57%

Our track record

In 3,102 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.4% of the time (bookmakers said 62.7%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 59%Bookmakers 64%

Our track record

In 944 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.6% of the time (bookmakers said 59.9%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Dinamo Zagreb ahead at half-time

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Draw at half-time.

Our model 48%Bookmakers 39%

Our track record

In 546 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 35.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 38.8% than to our 45–50%.

Dinamo Zagreb Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Dinamo Zagreb 2+ goals

Wrong

Our model 57%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 3,460 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).

Anderlecht Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Anderlecht 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 70%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 3,359 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.6% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Dinamo Zagreb vs Anderlecht 1-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Dinamo Zagreb vs Anderlecht. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Europa League - Europe

Dinamo Zagreb1

Anderlecht0

Winner

1 56%

BTTS*

Yes 57%

Correct Score

1-1 09%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 63%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 51%

· FT

Europa League - Europe

Dinamo Zagreb1

Anderlecht0

Winner

1 56%

BTTS*

Yes 57%

Correct Score

1-1 09%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 63%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 51%

Full Time

156%

X21%

224%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	17%	83%	37%	63%	49%	51%	73%	27%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	17%	83%	37%	63%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	49%	51%	73%	27%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	17%	83%	43%	57%	68%	32%	85%	15%
	41%	59%	70%	30%	88%	12%	96%	4%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	17%	83%	43%	57%
	41%	59%	70%	30%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	68%	32%	85%	15%
	88%	12%	96%	4%

1st Half

148%

X36%

216%

1st Score

165%

X4%

231%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

45%

X-1

19%

X-X

10%

2-2

X-2

1-X

2-1

2-X

1-2

Correct Score

1-1

9.2%

2-1

9.1%

1-0

8.3%

2-0

8.1%

3-1

5.9%

3-0

5.7%

1-2

5.6%

2-2

5.5%

0-1

4.7%

0-0

4.0%

3-2

3.9%

0-2

3.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Dinamo Zagreb vs Anderlecht — Recent Form

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Dinamo Zagreb

1/3

Anderlecht

2/5

Both Teams to Score

Dinamo Zagreb

1/3

Anderlecht

1/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Dinamo Zagreb

1/3

Anderlecht

3/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Dinamo Zagreb

2/3

Anderlecht

5/5

First Half Result

Dinamo Zagreb

0/3

Anderlecht

0/5

Correct Score

Dinamo Zagreb

0/3

Anderlecht

0/5

correct predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Anderlecht – Salzburg prediction & betting tips (Nov 5, 2026).