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Celta de Vigo vs Juventus 1-2 Score & Prediction Review
Europa League - Season 2026/2027 League Stage (Group Stage) (Round 2)
Celta de Vigo1–2
JuventusOn these chances Celta de Vigo would usually take 0.6 points and Juventus 2.2; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Juventus.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Celta de Vigo vs Juventus stats: how the match was played
Europa League
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Juventus had more than twice the shots on target
Celta de Vigo
Juventus
2
Shots on target
6
2
Big chances
4
2
Corners
7
2
Yellow cards
2
48%
Possession
52%
Celta de Vigo vs Juventus — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Europa League
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Juventus to win
CorrectOur track record
In 3,498 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.5% of the time (bookmakers said 50.6%).
Our model’s pick
No, not both
WrongOur track record
In 6,474 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 5,147 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.2% of the time (bookmakers said 56.5%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 4,540 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.5%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
WrongOur track record
In 6,636 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.4% of the time (bookmakers said 44.1%).
Our model’s pick
Celta de Vigo 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 1,590 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.8% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).
Our model’s pick
Juventus 0–1 goals
WrongOur track record
In 1,587 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.7% of the time (bookmakers said 60.8%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Celta de Vigo vs Juventus 1-2 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Celta de Vigo vs Juventus. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Celta de Vigo1
Juventus2Winner
X2 74%
BTTS*
No 50%
Correct Score
0-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
Celta de Vigo1Juventus2Winner
X2 74%
BTTS*
No 50%
Correct Score
0-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 28% | 72% | 52% | 48% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 65% | 35% | 86% | 14% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40% | 60% | 74% | 26% |
| 24% | 76% | 56% | 44% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 92% | 8% | 98% | 2% |
| 80% | 20% | 93% | 7% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
31%
X-X
17%
X-2
15%
1-1
13%
X-1
10%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
1-2
3%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
0-1
12.1%
1-1
11.9%
1-2
9.3%
0-2
8.3%
0-0
7.9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
6.5%
2-2
4.9%
0-3
4.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-0
4.0%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Celta de Vigo vs Juventus — Recent Form
Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Celta de VigoJuventusBoth Teams to Score
Celta de VigoJuventusOver/Under 2.5 Goals
Celta de VigoJuventusOver/Under 3.5 Goals
Celta de VigoJuventusFirst Half Result
Celta de VigoJuventusCorrect Score
Celta de VigoJuventus