Celta de Vigo vs Juventus Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Europa League - Season 2026/2027 League Stage (Group Stage) (Round 2)
Celta de Vigo scored first in 7 of their last 10 (league 47%).
Celta de Vigo vs Juventus — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Europa League
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Juventus to win
Our track record
In 3,369 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.3% of the time (bookmakers said 50.4%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our track record
In 6,318 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
Our track record
In 2,767 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our track record
In 4,429 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.3% of the time (bookmakers said 71.7%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our track record
In 6,503 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.8% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).
Our model’s pick
Celta de Vigo 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 1,545 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.1% of the time (bookmakers said 72.1%).
Our model’s pick
Juventus 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 1,553 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.5% of the time (bookmakers said 61.0%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Celta de Vigo vs Juventus — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Celta de Vigo vs Juventus. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Celta de Vigo–
Juventus–Winner
X2 74%
BTTS*
Yes 51%
Correct Score
0-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Celta de Vigo–Juventus–Winner
X2 74%
BTTS*
Yes 51%
Correct Score
0-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 27% | 73% | 51% | 49% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 63% | 37% | 85% | 15% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 40% | 60% | 72% | 28% |
 | 24% | 76% | 56% | 44% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 91% | 9% | 97% | 3% |
| 80% | 20% | 93% | 7% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
28%
X-X
17%
X-2
16%
1-1
14%
X-1
10%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
1-2
3%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
0-1
11.8%
1-1
11.8%
1-2
8.9%
0-2
8.0%
0-0
7.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.5%
2-2
5.2%
0-3
4.8%
1-3
4.6%
2-0
4.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Celta de Vigo vs Juventus: the stats that stand out
Europa League
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Celta de Vigo: fast starters and flop as favourites
7/10
Fast startersCelta de Vigo scored first in 7 of their last 10 (league 47%).
3/7
Flop as favouritesCelta de Vigo won only 3 of 7 as favourites (league 62%).
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Celta de Vigo vs Juventus: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Europa League
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 in the Europa LeagueBTTS = both teams scoredBoth teams score in Celta de Vigo games more often than the Europa League average (49%).
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 171 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Celta de Vigo vs Juventus form and luck check
Europa League
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringnormal range (±4 points)outside the normal range← fewer points · more points →Celta de Vigo: results in line with their chances
Celta de VigoCelta de Vigo: results in line with their chances.
Bookmakers: 27% to win today.
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
How we measure →Celta de Vigo vs Juventus corners, cards and goal times
Europa League
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameGoal times close to the Europa League average
Celta de Vigo
Juventus
3.6
Corners won · league 4.6
–
3.8
Corners conceded · league 4.6
–
2.7
Cards · league 2.1
–
1.4
Opponents' cards · league 2.1
–
45%
Goals before half-time · league 50%
–
27%
Goals after 75' · league 19%
–
31%
Conceded before half-time · league 50%
–
46%
Conceded after 75' · league 19%
–
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Celta de VigoJuventusBoth Teams to Score
Celta de VigoJuventusOver/Under 2.5 Goals
Celta de VigoJuventusOver/Under 3.5 Goals
Celta de VigoJuventusFirst Half Result
Celta de VigoJuventusCorrect Score
Celta de VigoJuventus