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TSG Hoffenheim vs Beşiktaş 2-3 Score & Prediction Review
Europa League - Season 2026/2027 League Stage (Group Stage) (Round 2)
TSG Hoffenheim2–3
BeşiktaşOn these chances TSG Hoffenheim would usually take 1.0 points and Beşiktaş 1.8; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: TSG Hoffenheim.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →TSG Hoffenheim vs Beşiktaş stats: how the match was played
Europa League
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Beşiktaş had clearly more shots on target
TSG Hoffenheim
Beşiktaş
3
Shots on target
5
3
Big chances
6
7
Corners
5
5
Yellow cards
1
54%
Possession
46%
TSG Hoffenheim vs Beşiktaş — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Europa League
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Beşiktaş to win
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: TSG Hoffenheim to win.
Our track record
In 1,071 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 30.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.2% than to our 40–45%.
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
CorrectOur track record
In 2,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.7% of the time (bookmakers said 61.7%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 1,162 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.2% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 947 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.6% of the time (bookmakers said 59.9%).
Our model’s pick
Beşiktaş ahead at half-time
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: TSG Hoffenheim ahead at half-time.
Our track record
In 1,203 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 35.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 35.0% than to our 35–40%.
Our model’s pick
TSG Hoffenheim 0–1 goals
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: TSG Hoffenheim 2+ goals.
Our track record
In 1,020 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 44.8% than to our 55–60%.
Our model’s pick
Beşiktaş 0–1 goals
WrongOur track record
In 1,021 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.9% of the time (bookmakers said 59.4%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
TSG Hoffenheim vs Beşiktaş 2-3 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for TSG Hoffenheim vs Beşiktaş. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
TSG Hoffenheim2
Beşiktaş3Winner
X2 65%
BTTS*
Yes 64%
Correct Score
1-1 09%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 65%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 54%
TSG Hoffenheim2Beşiktaş3Winner
X2 65%
BTTS*
Yes 64%
Correct Score
1-1 09%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 65%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 54%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 16% | 84% | 35% | 65% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 46% | 54% | 72% | 28% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30% | 70% | 57% | 43% |
| 23% | 77% | 50% | 50% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 80% | 20% | 92% | 8% |
| 75% | 25% | 89% | 11% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
30%
1-1
18%
X-2
14%
X-X
12%
X-1
10%
2-X
5%
1-X
4%
1-2
4%
2-1
3%
Correct Score
1-1
8.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
7.3%
0-1
6.7%
2-2
6.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-0
5.3%
1-3
5.0%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.1%
2-3
4.0%
3-2
3.9%
0-0
3.7%
0-3
3.3%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
TSG Hoffenheim vs Beşiktaş — Recent Form
Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
TSG HoffenheimBeşiktaşBoth Teams to Score
TSG HoffenheimBeşiktaşOver/Under 2.5 Goals
TSG HoffenheimBeşiktaşOver/Under 3.5 Goals
TSG HoffenheimBeşiktaşFirst Half Result
TSG HoffenheimBeşiktaşCorrect Score
TSG HoffenheimBeşiktaş