Spalding United vs Alvechurch Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
FA Cup - Season 2026/2027 4th Round Qualifying (Qualifying)
Spalding United vs Alvechurch — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · FA Cup
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Spalding United to win
Our track record
In 1,784 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.2% of the time (bookmakers said 61.3%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our track record
In 5,656 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.9% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our track record
In 805 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 47.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 55–60%.
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our track record
In 3,946 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.1% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).
Our model’s pick
Spalding United ahead at half-time
Our track record
In 2,200 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.
Our model’s pick
Spalding United 2+ goals
Our track record
In 3,448 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).
Our model’s pick
Alvechurch 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 3,341 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.1%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Spalding United vs Alvechurch — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Spalding United vs Alvechurch. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Spalding United–
Alvechurch–Winner
1 57%
BTTS*
Yes 55%
Correct Score
2-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 59%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 55%
Spalding United–Alvechurch–Winner
1 57%
BTTS*
Yes 55%
Correct Score
2-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 59%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 55%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 20% | 80% | 41% | 59% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 55% | 45% | 78% | 23% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 18% | 82% | 45% | 55% |
 | 43% | 57% | 74% | 26% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 70% | 30% | 86% | 14% |
| 91% | 9% | 97% | 3% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
36%
X-1
18%
2-2
13%
X-X
12%
X-2
8%
1-X
5%
2-X
4%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
2-1
10.2%
1-1
9.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-0
6.5%
3-1
5.6%
1-2
5.6%
0-0
5.2%
0-1
5.0%
2-2
4.9%
0-2
3.3%
3-2
3.2%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Spalding UnitedAlvechurchBoth Teams to Score
Spalding UnitedAlvechurchOver/Under 2.5 Goals
Spalding UnitedAlvechurchOver/Under 3.5 Goals
Spalding UnitedAlvechurchFirst Half Result
Spalding UnitedAlvechurchCorrect Score
Spalding UnitedAlvechurch