Bury vs Harrogate Town Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
FA Cup - Season 2026/2027 4th Round Qualifying (Qualifying)
Bury vs Harrogate Town — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · FA Cup
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Bury to win
Our track record
In 379 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 27.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.8% than to our 45–50%.
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our track record
In 5,656 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.9% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our track record
In 3,081 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.5%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our track record
In 921 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.0% of the time (bookmakers said 60.1%).
Our model’s pick
Bury ahead at half-time
Our track record
In 1,217 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 35.1% than to our 35–40%.
Our model’s pick
Bury 2+ goals
Our track record
In 1,850 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 41.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.7% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Harrogate Town 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 343 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 43.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.8% than to our 60–65%.
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Bury vs Harrogate Town — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Bury vs Harrogate Town. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Bury–
Harrogate Town–Winner
1X 70%
BTTS*
Yes 57%
Correct Score
1-1 09%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 63%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 52%
Bury–Harrogate Town–Winner
1X 70%
BTTS*
Yes 57%
Correct Score
1-1 09%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 63%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 52%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 17% | 83% | 37% | 63% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 48% | 52% | 73% | 27% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 21% | 79% | 47% | 53% |
 | 37% | 63% | 65% | 35% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 71% | 29% | 86% | 14% |
| 84% | 16% | 94% | 6% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
32%
2-2
19%
X-1
14%
X-X
11%
X-2
11%
1-X
5%
2-X
4%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-1
8.8%
2-1
7.5%
1-0
7.5%
2-0
7.3%
1-2
6.5%
0-1
5.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-1
5.6%
3-0
4.8%
0-2
4.0%
0-0
4.0%
1-3
3.7%
3-2
3.3%
2-3
3.2%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
BuryBoth Teams to Score
BuryOver/Under 2.5 Goals
BuryOver/Under 3.5 Goals
BuryFirst Half Result
BuryCorrect Score
Bury