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Chorley vs Worcester City

Chorley vs Worcester City 1-1 Score & Prediction Review

FA Cup - Season 2026/2027 4th Round Qualifying (Qualifying)

Chorley vs Worcester City stats: how the match was played

FA Cup

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Chorley

Worcester City

Shots on target

Corners

Yellow cards

The match between Chorley and Worcester City ended 1-1. Our AI model predicted a Chorley win at 48% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

Chorley vs Worcester City — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · FA Cup

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Chorley to win

Wrong

Our model 48%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 3,511 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.2% of the time (bookmakers said 50.5%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct

Our model 56%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 5,722 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 57%Bookmakers 57%

Our track record

In 5,327 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.5% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 66%Bookmakers 65%

Our track record

In 3,982 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.2% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Chorley ahead at half-time.

Our model 40%Bookmakers 39%

Our track record

In 2,227 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.

Chorley Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Chorley 0–1 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Chorley 2+ goals.

Our model 53%Bookmakers 38%

Our track record

In 1,871 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 41.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.7% than to our 50–55%.

Worcester City Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Worcester City 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 67%Bookmakers 72%

Our track record

In 3,279 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.2% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Chorley vs Worcester City 1-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Chorley vs Worcester City. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

FA Cup - England

Chorley1

Worcester City1

Winner

1X 70%

BTTS*

Yes 56%

Correct Score

1-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 57%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 56%

· FT

FA Cup - England

Chorley1

Worcester City1

Winner

1X 70%

BTTS*

Yes 56%

Correct Score

1-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 57%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 56%

Full Time

148%

X22%

230%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	21%	79%	43%	57%	56%	44%	79%	21%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	21%	79%	43%	57%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	56%	44%	79%	21%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	23%	77%	53%	47%	76%	24%	90%	10%
	36%	64%	67%	33%	87%	13%	95%	5%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	23%	77%	53%	47%
	36%	64%	67%	33%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	76%	24%	90%	10%
	87%	13%	95%	5%

1st Half

138%

X40%

222%

1st Score

157%

X5%

238%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

28%

2-2

18%

X-1

15%

X-X

13%

X-2

11%

1-X

2-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

10.4%

2-1

9.3%

1-0

9.3%

1-2

7.1%

2-0

7.0%

0-1

6.5%

0-0

5.2%

2-2

5.2%

3-1

4.8%

3-0

4.8%

0-2

4.7%

3-2

3.2%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Chorley vs Worcester City — Recent Form

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Worcester City

1/3

Chorley

2/2

Both Teams to Score

Worcester City

3/3

Chorley

1/2

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Worcester City

2/3

Chorley

1/2

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Worcester City

2/3

Chorley

1/2

First Half Result

Worcester City

1/3

Chorley

2/2

Correct Score

Worcester City

1/3

Chorley

0/2

correct predictionwrong prediction