Plymouth Parkway vs Chertsey Town Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
FA Cup - Season 2026/2027 4th Round Qualifying (Qualifying)
Plymouth Parkway vs Chertsey Town — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · FA Cup
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Chertsey Town to win
Our track record
Too few similar matches in the last 12 months for a track record.
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our track record
In 2,465 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.6% of the time (bookmakers said 61.6%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our track record
In 3,081 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.5%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our track record
In 921 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.0% of the time (bookmakers said 60.1%).
Our model’s pick
Chertsey Town ahead at half-time
Our track record
In 1,217 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 35.1% than to our 35–40%.
Our model’s pick
Plymouth Parkway 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 76 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 51.3% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.1% than to our 65–70%.
Our model’s pick
Chertsey Town 2+ goals
Our track record
In 622 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 45.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 44.7% than to our 55–60%.
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Plymouth Parkway vs Chertsey Town — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Plymouth Parkway vs Chertsey Town. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Plymouth Parkway–
Chertsey Town–Winner
2 56%
BTTS*
Yes 61%
Correct Score
1-2 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 65%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 52%
Plymouth Parkway–Chertsey Town–Winner
2 56%
BTTS*
Yes 61%
Correct Score
1-2 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 65%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 52%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 16% | 84% | 35% | 65% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 48% | 52% | 72% | 28% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 40% | 60% | 69% | 31% |
 | 17% | 83% | 42% | 58% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 88% | 12% | 96% | 4% |
| 67% | 33% | 84% | 16% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
32%
X-2
16%
1-1
15%
X-X
11%
X-1
10%
2-X
5%
1-X
4%
1-2
4%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-2
9.5%
1-1
8.7%
0-2
8.1%
0-1
7.0%
1-3
6.0%
2-1
6.0%
0-3
5.5%
2-2
5.4%
1-0
4.8%
2-3
3.8%
0-0
3.7%
2-0
3.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Chertsey TownPlymouth ParkwayBoth Teams to Score
Chertsey TownPlymouth ParkwayOver/Under 2.5 Goals
Chertsey TownPlymouth ParkwayOver/Under 3.5 Goals
Chertsey TownPlymouth ParkwayFirst Half Result
Chertsey TownPlymouth ParkwayCorrect Score
Chertsey TownPlymouth Parkway