1. Southend United vs Berkhamsted

Southend United vs Berkhamsted 1-2 Score & Prediction Review

FA Cup - Season 2026/2027 4th Round Qualifying (Qualifying)

Southend United vs Berkhamsted stats: how the match was played

FA Cup

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Southend United had clearly more shots on target

Southend United

Berkhamsted

8

Shots on target

5

9

Corners

3

0

Yellow cards

0

The match between Southend United and Berkhamsted ended 1-2. Our AI model predicted a Southend United win at 74% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 2.5 Goals.

Southend United vs Berkhamsted — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · FA Cup

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Southend United to win

Wrong
Our model 74%Bookmakers 73%

Our track record

In 320 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 79.4% of the time (bookmakers said 76.1%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 55%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 6,452 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.2% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 67%Bookmakers 65%

Our track record

In 1,158 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.0% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 56%Bookmakers 55%

Our track record

In 933 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.0% of the time (bookmakers said 60.0%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Southend United ahead at half-time

Wrong
Our model 54%Bookmakers 51%

Our track record

In 1,244 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 53.9% of the time (bookmakers said 51.7%).

Southend United Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Southend United 2+ goals

Wrong
Our model 71%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 1,579 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.8% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Berkhamsted Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Berkhamsted 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 83%Bookmakers 85%

Our track record

In 1,497 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 78.9% of the time (bookmakers said 80.6%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Southend United vs Berkhamsted 1-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Southend United vs Berkhamsted. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Southend UnitedSouthend United1
BerkhamstedBerkhamsted2

Winner

1 74%

BTTS*

Yes 55%

Correct Score

2-0 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 67%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 54%

Full Time

174%
X15%
212%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT15%85%33%67%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT46%54%67%33%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Southend United10%90%29%71%
Berkhamsted57%43%83%17%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Southend United53%47%74%26%
Berkhamsted95%5%99%1%

1st Half

154%
X34%
213%

1st Score

172%
X4%
224%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

51%

X-1

18%

X-X

9%

2-2

7%

X-2

5%

1-X

3%

2-1

3%

2-X

2%

1-2

1%

Correct Score

2-0

10.0%

2-1

9.2%

3-0

9.0%

1-0

8.5%

3-1

7.0%

1-1

6.7%

2-2

3.5%

0-0

3.5%

3-2

3.5%

1-2

3.5%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Southend United vs Berkhamsted — Recent Form

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Southend UnitedSouthend United
0/1
BerkhamstedBerkhamsted
2/4

Both Teams to Score

Southend UnitedSouthend United
1/1
BerkhamstedBerkhamsted
3/4

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Southend UnitedSouthend United
1/1
BerkhamstedBerkhamsted
3/4

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Southend UnitedSouthend United
1/1
BerkhamstedBerkhamsted
2/4

First Half Result

Southend UnitedSouthend United
0/1
BerkhamstedBerkhamsted
0/4

Correct Score

Southend UnitedSouthend United
0/1
BerkhamstedBerkhamsted
0/4
correct predictionwrong prediction

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