Harrogate Town vs Bury Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
FA Cup - Season 2026/2027 4th Round Qualifying Replays (Knock Out)
Harrogate Town vs Bury — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · FA Cup
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Harrogate Town to win
Our track record
In 610 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 70.7% of the time (bookmakers said 70.8%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our track record
In 5,672 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our track record
In 3,076 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.4% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our track record
In 927 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.2% of the time (bookmakers said 60.0%).
Our model’s pick
Harrogate Town ahead at half-time
Our track record
In 6,637 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).
Our model’s pick
Harrogate Town 2+ goals
Our track record
In 3,453 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 64.0% of the time (bookmakers said 64.0%).
Our model’s pick
Bury 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 2,569 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.0% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Harrogate Town vs Bury — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Harrogate Town vs Bury. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Harrogate Town–
Bury–Winner
1 67%
BTTS*
Yes 58%
Correct Score
2-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 64%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 52%
Harrogate Town–Bury–Winner
1 67%
BTTS*
Yes 58%
Correct Score
2-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 64%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 52%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 16% | 84% | 36% | 64% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 48% | 52% | 70% | 30% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 13% | 87% | 35% | 65% |
 | 49% | 51% | 78% | 22% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 60% | 40% | 80% | 20% |
| 93% | 7% | 98% | 2% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
41%
X-1
18%
X-X
11%
2-2
11%
X-2
7%
1-X
4%
2-1
3%
2-X
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
2-1
10.0%
2-0
8.9%
1-0
8.8%
1-1
8.1%
3-0
7.4%
3-1
7.1%
3-2
4.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-2
4.2%
0-1
3.9%
0-0
3.8%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
BuryHarrogate TownBoth Teams to Score
BuryHarrogate TownOver/Under 2.5 Goals
BuryHarrogate TownOver/Under 3.5 Goals
BuryHarrogate TownFirst Half Result
BuryHarrogate TownCorrect Score
BuryHarrogate Town