Worcester City vs Chorley Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
FA Cup - Season 2026/2027 4th Round Qualifying Replays (Knock Out)
Worcester City vs Chorley — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · FA Cup
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Chorley to win
Our track record
In 2,460 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.7% of the time (bookmakers said 55.1%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our track record
In 6,443 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our track record
In 5,134 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.2% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our track record
In 3,941 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.5% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our track record
In 6,637 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).
Our model’s pick
Worcester City 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 1,573 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.7% of the time (bookmakers said 72.1%).
Our model’s pick
Chorley 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 999 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.1% of the time (bookmakers said 59.2%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Worcester City vs Chorley — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Worcester City vs Chorley. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Worcester City–
Chorley–Winner
2 50%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
0-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
Worcester City–Chorley–Winner
2 50%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
0-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 24% | 76% | 47% | 53% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 60% | 40% | 82% | 18% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 40% | 60% | 71% | 29% |
 | 23% | 77% | 53% | 47% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 90% | 10% | 97% | 3% |
| 77% | 23% | 91% | 9% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
33%
X-2
17%
1-1
14%
X-X
14%
X-1
10%
1-X
4%
2-X
4%
1-2
3%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
0-1
10.6%
1-1
10.5%
1-2
9.3%
0-2
8.5%
1-0
6.8%
0-0
6.8%
2-1
6.6%
0-3
4.8%
1-3
4.7%
2-2
4.7%
2-0
4.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Worcester CityChorleyBoth Teams to Score
Worcester CityChorleyOver/Under 2.5 Goals
Worcester CityChorleyOver/Under 3.5 Goals
Worcester CityChorleyFirst Half Result
Worcester CityChorleyCorrect Score
Worcester CityChorley