Fleetwood Town vs Rochdale Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
FA Cup - Season 2026/2027 1st Round (Knock Out)
Fleetwood Town vs Rochdale — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · FA Cup
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Fleetwood Town to win
Our track record
In 2,098 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 43.7% of the time (bookmakers said 43.9%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our track record
In 6,518 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our track record
In 5,183 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.2% of the time (bookmakers said 56.5%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our track record
In 4,000 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.1% of the time (bookmakers said 66.7%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our track record
In 1,996 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 40.6% of the time (bookmakers said 41.2%).
Our model’s pick
Fleetwood Town 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 397 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 43.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.9% than to our 60–65%.
Our model’s pick
Rochdale 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 2,676 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.2% of the time (bookmakers said 63.7%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Fleetwood Town vs Rochdale — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Fleetwood Town vs Rochdale. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Fleetwood Town–
Rochdale–Winner
12 75%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Fleetwood Town–Rochdale–Winner
12 75%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 23% | 77% | 47% | 53% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 59% | 42% | 81% | 19% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 29% | 71% | 60% | 40% |
 | 30% | 70% | 62% | 38% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 82% | 18% | 94% | 6% |
| 84% | 16% | 94% | 6% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
24%
2-2
19%
X-1
14%
X-X
13%
X-2
13%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
1-2
3%
2-1
3%
Correct Score
1-1
11.6%
1-0
8.8%
0-1
8.4%
2-1
8.1%
1-2
7.8%
0-0
6.1%
2-0
5.9%
0-2
5.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-1
4.2%
1-3
3.4%
3-0
3.2%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score