Burton Albion vs AFC Rushden & Diamonds Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
FA Cup - Season 2026/2027 1st Round (Knock Out)
Burton Albion vs AFC Rushden & Diamonds — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · FA Cup
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Burton Albion to win
Our track record
In 1,806 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.4% of the time (bookmakers said 61.2%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our track record
In 534 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.7% than to our 55–60%.
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our track record
In 3,115 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.7%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our track record
In 963 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.9% of the time (bookmakers said 59.8%).
Our model’s pick
Burton Albion ahead at half-time
Our track record
In 6,693 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.4% of the time (bookmakers said 44.1%).
Our model’s pick
Burton Albion 2+ goals
Our track record
In 3,513 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.0% of the time (bookmakers said 61.2%).
Our model’s pick
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 3,395 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Burton Albion vs AFC Rushden & Diamonds — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Burton Albion vs AFC Rushden & Diamonds. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Burton Albion–
AFC Rushden & Diamonds–Winner
1 58%
BTTS*
Yes 59%
Correct Score
2-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 63%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 52%
Burton Albion–AFC Rushden & Diamonds–Winner
1 58%
BTTS*
Yes 59%
Correct Score
2-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 63%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 52%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 17% | 83% | 37% | 63% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 48% | 52% | 72% | 28% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 17% | 83% | 41% | 59% |
 | 42% | 58% | 71% | 29% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 66% | 34% | 84% | 16% |
| 89% | 11% | 96% | 4% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
38%
X-1
15%
2-2
14%
X-X
12%
X-2
8%
1-X
4%
2-1
4%
2-X
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
2-1
9.6%
1-1
8.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.5%
3-0
6.0%
1-2
5.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-2
4.6%
0-1
4.6%
0-0
4.1%
0-2
3.0%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
AFC Rushden & DiamondsBoth Teams to Score
AFC Rushden & DiamondsOver/Under 2.5 Goals
AFC Rushden & DiamondsOver/Under 3.5 Goals
AFC Rushden & DiamondsFirst Half Result
AFC Rushden & DiamondsCorrect Score
AFC Rushden & Diamonds