Oxford United vs Stevenage Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
FA Cup - Season 2026/2027 1st Round (Knock Out)
Oxford United vs Stevenage — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · FA Cup
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Stevenage to win
Our track record
In 1,527 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 28.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 29.5% than to our 35–40%.
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our track record
In 6,518 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
Our track record
In 5,183 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.2% of the time (bookmakers said 56.5%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our track record
In 3,637 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.2% of the time (bookmakers said 76.2%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our track record
In 6,693 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.4% of the time (bookmakers said 44.1%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Oxford United vs Stevenage — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Oxford United vs Stevenage. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Oxford United–
Stevenage–Winner
12 73%
BTTS*
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
Oxford United–Stevenage–Winner
12 73%
BTTS*
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 28% | 72% | 54% | 46% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 65% | 35% | 87% | 13% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 32% | 68% | 67% | 33% |
 | 30% | 70% | 64% | 36% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 87% | 13% | 96% | 4% |
| 86% | 14% | 96% | 4% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
21%
2-2
20%
X-X
17%
X-1
14%
X-2
14%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
1-2
2%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
12.9%
0-1
10.3%
1-0
10.0%
0-0
8.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-1
7.7%
0-2
6.5%
2-0
5.8%
2-2
5.1%
1-3
3.4%
3-1
3.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score