Crewe Alexandra vs AFC Wimbledon Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
FA Cup - Season 2026/2027 1st Round (Knock Out)
Crewe Alexandra vs AFC Wimbledon — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · FA Cup
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Crewe Alexandra to win
Our track record
In 116 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 26.7% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.7% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our track record
In 6,514 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.4% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our track record
In 2,885 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.3% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our track record
In 4,597 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.1% of the time (bookmakers said 71.4%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our track record
In 6,687 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.4% of the time (bookmakers said 44.1%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Crewe Alexandra vs AFC Wimbledon — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Crewe Alexandra vs AFC Wimbledon. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Crewe Alexandra–
AFC Wimbledon–Winner
1 51%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
Crewe Alexandra–AFC Wimbledon–Winner
1 51%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 24% | 76% | 47% | 53% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 61% | 39% | 83% | 17% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 22% | 78% | 53% | 47% |
 | 39% | 61% | 73% | 28% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 77% | 23% | 91% | 9% |
| 91% | 9% | 97% | 3% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
33%
X-1
18%
2-2
14%
X-X
13%
X-2
9%
1-X
4%
2-1
4%
2-X
4%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-1
10.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
7.9%
0-1
7.3%
0-0
6.7%
1-2
6.7%
3-1
5.3%
3-0
5.2%
2-2
4.7%
0-2
4.0%
3-2
3.0%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score