Milton Keynes Dons vs Swindon Town Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
FA Cup - Season 2026/2027 1st Round (Knock Out)
Milton Keynes Dons vs Swindon Town — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · FA Cup
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Milton Keynes Dons to win
Our track record
In 1,073 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 66.7% of the time (bookmakers said 66.3%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our track record
In 6,518 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our track record
In 3,115 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.7%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our track record
In 2,424 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.7%).
Our model’s pick
Milton Keynes Dons ahead at half-time
Our track record
In 6,693 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.4% of the time (bookmakers said 44.1%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Milton Keynes Dons vs Swindon Town — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Milton Keynes Dons vs Swindon Town. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Milton Keynes Dons–
Swindon Town–Winner
1 63%
BTTS*
Yes 55%
Correct Score
2-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 63%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 52%
Milton Keynes Dons–Swindon Town–Winner
1 63%
BTTS*
Yes 55%
Correct Score
2-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 63%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 52%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 17% | 83% | 37% | 63% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 52% | 48% | 74% | 26% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 13% | 87% | 38% | 62% |
 | 47% | 53% | 76% | 24% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 64% | 36% | 83% | 17% |
| 92% | 8% | 98% | 2% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
40%
X-1
17%
X-X
12%
2-2
10%
X-2
7%
1-X
4%
2-1
4%
2-X
4%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
2-1
9.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-0
8.9%
1-1
8.8%
3-0
7.9%
3-1
6.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-2
4.7%
0-1
4.1%
0-0
4.0%
3-2
3.6%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score