Peterborough United vs Reading Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
FA Cup - Season 2026/2027 1st Round (Knock Out)
Peterborough United vs Reading — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · FA Cup
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Peterborough United to win
Our track record
In 1,083 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 30.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.2% than to our 40–45%.
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our track record
In 5,756 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.9% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our track record
In 3,115 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.7%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our track record
In 2,424 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.7%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our track record
In 1,996 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 40.6% of the time (bookmakers said 41.2%).
Our model’s pick
Peterborough United 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 2,828 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.4% of the time (bookmakers said 58.7%).
Our model’s pick
Reading 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 1,599 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.6% of the time (bookmakers said 60.8%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Peterborough United vs Reading — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Peterborough United vs Reading. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Winner
1X 66%
BTTS*
Yes 60%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 61%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 53%
Winner
1X 66%
BTTS*
Yes 60%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 61%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 53%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 19% | 82% | 39% | 61% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 53% | 47% | 78% | 22% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24% | 76% | 54% | 46% | |
| 29% | 71% | 59% | 41% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 77% | 23% | 92% | 8% | |
| 82% | 18% | 94% | 6% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
24%
2-2
21%
X-1
13%
X-X
13%
X-2
12%
2-X
6%
1-X
5%
1-2
3%
2-1
3%
Correct Score
1-1
10.4%
2-1
8.8%
1-2
8.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-2
6.5%
0-1
6.5%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.7%
0-0
4.6%
0-2
4.5%
3-0
4.0%
1-3
3.8%
3-2
3.6%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score