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Oldham Athletic vs Sheffield Wednesday 2-1 Score & Prediction Review

FA Cup - Season 2026/2027 1st Round (Knock Out)

Oldham Athletic vs Sheffield Wednesday stats: how the match was played

FA Cup

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Even on chances

Oldham Athletic

Sheffield Wednesday

1.2

Chances (xG)

1.4

5

Shots on target

6

2

Big chances

1

2

Corners

8

2

Yellow cards

4

1

Red cards

0

30%

Possession

71%

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →
The match between Oldham Athletic and Sheffield Wednesday ended 2-1. Our AI model correctly predicted a Oldham Athletic win with 44% confidence before kick-off. A strong performance overall — our model hit all 4 key markets for this fixture, correctly calling Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

Oldham Athletic vs Sheffield Wednesday — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · FA Cup

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Oldham Athletic to win

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Sheffield Wednesday to win.

Our model 45%Bookmakers 25%

Our track record

In 1,090 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 30.3% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.2% than to our 40–45%.

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 53%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 6,545 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.2% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 54%Bookmakers 59%

Our track record

In 5,230 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.3% of the time (bookmakers said 56.5%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 69%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 4,050 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.1% of the time (bookmakers said 66.6%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct
Our model 43%Bookmakers 39%

Our track record

In 6,744 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.4% of the time (bookmakers said 44.1%).

Oldham Athletic Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Oldham Athletic 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 56%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 3,536 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.0% of the time (bookmakers said 61.3%).

Sheffield Wednesday Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Sheffield Wednesday 0–1 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Sheffield Wednesday 2+ goals.

Our model 67%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 136 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 47.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.6% than to our 65–70%.

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Oldham Athletic vs Sheffield Wednesday 2-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Oldham Athletic vs Sheffield Wednesday. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
FA Cup - England
Oldham AthleticOldham Athletic2
Sheffield WednesdaySheffield Wednesday1

Winner

1X 68%

BTTS*

Yes 53%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 54%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 59%

Full Time

144%
X24%
232%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT23%77%46%54%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT59%41%82%18%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Oldham Athletic26%74%56%44%
Sheffield Wednesday34%66%67%33%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Oldham Athletic79%21%92%8%
Sheffield Wednesday87%13%96%4%

1st Half

133%
X43%
223%

1st Score

153%
X6%
241%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

26%

2-2

17%

X-1

16%

X-X

14%

X-2

12%

1-X

5%

2-X

4%

2-1

3%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

1-1

11.0%

1-0

9.3%

2-1

8.9%

0-1

7.8%

1-2

7.2%

2-0

7.0%

0-0

6.3%

2-2

5.0%

0-2

4.9%

3-1

4.6%

3-0

4.3%

1-3

3.0%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

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