Carlisle United vs Salford City Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
FA Cup - Season 2026/2027 1st Round (Knock Out)
Carlisle United vs Salford City — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · FA Cup
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Salford City to win
Our track record
In 3,639 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.7% of the time (bookmakers said 47.0%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our track record
In 2,517 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.7%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our track record
In 3,115 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.7%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our track record
In 2,424 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.7%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our track record
In 6,693 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.4% of the time (bookmakers said 44.1%).
Our model’s pick
Carlisle United 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 3,467 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.9% of the time (bookmakers said 63.9%).
Our model’s pick
Salford City 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 848 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 42.5% than to our 50–55%.
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Carlisle United vs Salford City — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Carlisle United vs Salford City. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Carlisle United–
Salford City–Winner
X2 67%
BTTS*
Yes 60%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 61%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 52%
Carlisle United–Salford City–Winner
X2 67%
BTTS*
Yes 60%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 61%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 52%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 18% | 82% | 39% | 61% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 52% | 48% | 77% | 23% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 31% | 69% | 61% | 39% |
 | 24% | 76% | 52% | 48% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 83% | 17% | 94% | 6% |
| 77% | 23% | 90% | 10% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
25%
1-1
18%
X-2
15%
X-X
14%
X-1
13%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
1-2
3%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
10.0%
1-2
9.3%
2-1
7.7%
0-1
7.2%
2-2
6.6%
1-0
6.2%
0-2
5.7%
0-0
4.9%
2-0
4.6%
1-3
4.3%
0-3
4.0%
3-1
3.3%
2-3
3.2%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Carlisle UnitedBoth Teams to Score
Carlisle UnitedOver/Under 2.5 Goals
Carlisle UnitedOver/Under 3.5 Goals
Carlisle UnitedFirst Half Result
Carlisle UnitedCorrect Score
Carlisle United