Barnsley vs Aldershot Town Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
FA Cup - Season 2026/2027 1st Round (Knock Out)
Barnsley vs Aldershot Town — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · FA Cup
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Barnsley to win
Our track record
In 3,639 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.7% of the time (bookmakers said 47.0%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our track record
In 5,756 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.9% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our track record
In 3,115 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.7%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our track record
In 963 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.9% of the time (bookmakers said 59.8%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our track record
In 1,211 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 35.3% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 35.0% than to our 35–40%.
Our model’s pick
Barnsley 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 1,897 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 41.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.6% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Aldershot Town 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 1,599 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.6% of the time (bookmakers said 60.8%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Barnsley vs Aldershot Town — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Barnsley vs Aldershot Town. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Winner
1X 64%
BTTS*
Yes 60%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 62%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 50%
Winner
1X 64%
BTTS*
Yes 60%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 62%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 50%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 18% | 82% | 38% | 62% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 50% | 50% | 75% | 25% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26% | 74% | 54% | 46% | |
| 29% | 71% | 58% | 42% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 77% | 23% | 91% | 9% | |
| 81% | 19% | 92% | 8% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
26%
2-2
21%
X-1
13%
X-2
13%
X-X
12%
1-X
5%
2-1
4%
2-X
4%
1-2
3%
Correct Score
1-1
9.7%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
7.3%
1-0
7.0%
0-1
6.4%
2-2
5.8%
2-0
5.5%
0-2
5.2%
3-1
5.0%
0-0
4.4%
3-2
4.2%
1-3
3.9%
3-0
3.5%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Both Teams to Score
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result
Correct Score