Altrincham vs Notts County Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
FA Cup - Season 2026/2027 1st Round (Knock Out)
Altrincham vs Notts County — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · FA Cup
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Altrincham to win
Our track record
In 367 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 28.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.9% than to our 45–50%.
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our track record
In 6,518 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our track record
In 5,183 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.2% of the time (bookmakers said 56.5%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our track record
In 4,000 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.1% of the time (bookmakers said 66.7%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our track record
In 2,300 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.
Our model’s pick
Altrincham 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 2,828 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.4% of the time (bookmakers said 58.7%).
Our model’s pick
Notts County 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 137 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.7% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.7% than to our 65–70%.
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Altrincham vs Notts County — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Altrincham vs Notts County. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Altrincham–
Notts County–Winner
1X 70%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Altrincham–Notts County–Winner
1X 70%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 23% | 77% | 46% | 54% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 59% | 41% | 82% | 19% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 24% | 76% | 54% | 46% |
 | 37% | 63% | 69% | 31% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 78% | 22% | 91% | 9% |
| 87% | 13% | 96% | 4% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
28%
2-2
17%
X-1
15%
X-X
15%
X-2
11%
1-X
5%
2-X
4%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-1
11.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.1%
0-1
7.3%
2-0
7.3%
1-2
7.0%
0-0
6.6%
2-2
5.0%
3-0
4.8%
3-1
4.6%
0-2
4.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
AltrinchamBoth Teams to Score
AltrinchamOver/Under 2.5 Goals
AltrinchamOver/Under 3.5 Goals
AltrinchamFirst Half Result
AltrinchamCorrect Score
Altrincham