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Preston North End vs Wigan Athletic 0-1 Score & Prediction Review

FA Cup - Season 2025/2026 Round 3 (Knock Out)

Fair result
Preston North EndPreston North End

0–1

Wigan AthleticWigan Athletic
0.9Chances (xG)1.2

On these chances Preston North End would usually take 1.1 points and Wigan Athletic 1.6; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Preston North End.

Preston North End −1.1 pts vs chancesWigan Athletic +1.4 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Preston North End vs Wigan Athletic stats: how the match was played

FA Cup

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Wigan Athletic had clearly more shots on target

Preston North End

Wigan Athletic

2

Shots on target

3

0

Big chances

3

3

Corners

2

1

Yellow cards

1

70%

Possession

30%

The match between Preston North End and Wigan Athletic ended 0-1. Our AI model predicted a Preston North End win at 40% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

Preston North End vs Wigan Athletic — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · FA Cup

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Preston North End to win

Wrong
Our model 40%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 3,609 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.3% of the time (bookmakers said 47.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Correct
Our model 50%Bookmakers 55%

Our track record

In 6,469 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 56%Bookmakers 57%

Our track record

In 5,315 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 77%Bookmakers 79%

Our track record

In 3,658 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.0% of the time (bookmakers said 76.2%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct
Our model 47%Bookmakers 45%

Our track record

In 4,252 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.1% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).

Preston North End Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Preston North End 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 63%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 3,459 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 64.0% of the time (bookmakers said 64.0%).

Wigan Athletic Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Wigan Athletic 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 70%Bookmakers 79%

Our track record

In 3,365 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.6% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Preston North End vs Wigan Athletic 0-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Preston North End vs Wigan Athletic. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
FA Cup - England
Preston North EndPreston North End0
Wigan AthleticWigan Athletic1

Winner

1X 68%

BTTS*

No 50%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 67%

Full Time

140%
X27%
232%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT30%70%56%44%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT67%33%88%12%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Preston North End29%71%63%37%
Wigan Athletic34%66%70%30%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Preston North End85%15%95%5%
Wigan Athletic90%10%97%3%

1st Half

130%
X46%
223%

1st Score

148%
X9%
243%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

23%

X-X

18%

2-2

17%

X-1

14%

X-2

13%

1-X

6%

2-X

4%

2-1

3%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

1-1

13.5%

1-0

10.9%

0-1

10.1%

0-0

8.6%

2-1

8.3%

2-0

7.2%

1-2

7.0%

0-2

5.9%

2-2

4.7%

3-1

3.6%

3-0

3.2%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

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