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Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Shrewsbury Town

Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Shrewsbury Town 6-1 Score & Prediction Review

FA Cup - Season 2025/2026 Round 3 (Knock Out)

Fair result

Wolverhampton Wanderers

6–1

Shrewsbury Town

2.8Chances (xG)1.2

On these chances Wolverhampton Wanderers would usually take 2.3 points and Shrewsbury Town 0.6; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Wolverhampton Wanderers.

Wolverhampton Wanderers +0.7 pts vs chancesShrewsbury Town −0.6 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Shrewsbury Town stats: how the match was played

FA Cup

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Wolverhampton Wanderers had more than twice the shots on target

Wolverhampton Wanderers

Shrewsbury Town

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

68%

Possession

32%

The match between Wolverhampton Wanderers and Shrewsbury Town ended 6-1. Our AI model predicted an Shrewsbury Town win at 41% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Both Teams To Score — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.

Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Shrewsbury Town — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · FA Cup

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Shrewsbury Town to win

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Wolverhampton Wanderers to win.

Our model 41%Bookmakers 4%

Our track record

In 1,073 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 30.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.3% than to our 40–45%.

Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: No, not both.

Our model 52%Bookmakers 42%

Our track record

In 3,142 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Over 2.5 goals.

Our model 51%Bookmakers 34%

Our track record

In 2,862 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 73%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 4,587 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.5%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Wolverhampton Wanderers ahead at half-time.

Our model 45%Bookmakers 32%

Our track record

In 2,234 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.7% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.

Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Wolverhampton Wanderers 0–1 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Wolverhampton Wanderers 2+ goals.

Our model 67%Bookmakers 22%

Our track record

In 81 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 50.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 65–70%.

Shrewsbury Town Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Shrewsbury Town 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 60%Bookmakers 90%

Our track record

In 2,677 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.4% of the time (bookmakers said 63.8%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Shrewsbury Town 6-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Shrewsbury Town. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

FA Cup - England

Wolverhampton Wanderers6

Shrewsbury Town1

Winner

X2 67%

BTTS*

Yes 52%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 51%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 63%

· FT

FA Cup - England

Wolverhampton Wanderers6

Shrewsbury Town1

Winner

X2 67%

BTTS*

Yes 52%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 51%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 63%

Full Time

133%

X26%

241%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	27%	73%	51%	49%	63%	37%	85%	15%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	27%	73%	51%	49%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	63%	37%	85%	15%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	33%	67%	67%	33%	87%	13%	96%	4%
	29%	71%	60%	40%	84%	16%	95%	5%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	33%	67%	67%	33%
	29%	71%	60%	40%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	87%	13%	96%	4%
	84%	16%	95%	5%

1st Half

128%

X45%

228%

1st Score

144%

X8%

248%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

21%

1-1

19%

X-2

17%

X-X

15%

X-1

13%

1-X

2-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

11.7%

0-1

9.9%

1-0

9.3%

1-2

8.4%

0-0

7.6%

0-2

7.5%

2-1

7.1%

2-0

5.4%

2-2

5.3%

1-3

4.1%

0-3

3.2%

3-1

3.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score