Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Shrewsbury Town 6-1 Score & Prediction Review
FA Cup - Season 2025/2026 Round 3 (Knock Out)
Wolverhampton Wanderers6–1
Shrewsbury TownOn these chances Wolverhampton Wanderers would usually take 2.3 points and Shrewsbury Town 0.6; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Wolverhampton Wanderers.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Shrewsbury Town stats: how the match was played
FA Cup
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Wolverhampton Wanderers had more than twice the shots on target
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Shrewsbury Town
10
Shots on target
2
9
Big chances
1
8
Corners
2
1
Yellow cards
2
68%
Possession
32%
Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Shrewsbury Town — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · FA Cup
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Shrewsbury Town to win
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Wolverhampton Wanderers to win.
Our track record
In 1,028 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 30.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.3% than to our 40–45%.
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: No, not both.
Our track record
In 3,090 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Over 2.5 goals.
Our track record
In 2,802 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 43.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 4,484 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.3% of the time (bookmakers said 71.7%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Wolverhampton Wanderers ahead at half-time.
Our track record
In 2,158 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.4% than to our 40–45%.
Our model’s pick
Wolverhampton Wanderers 0–1 goals
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Wolverhampton Wanderers 2+ goals.
Our track record
In 74 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 51.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.1% than to our 65–70%.
Our model’s pick
Shrewsbury Town 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 2,640 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.1% of the time (bookmakers said 63.8%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Shrewsbury Town 6-1 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Shrewsbury Town. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Wolverhampton Wanderers6
Shrewsbury Town1Winner
X2 67%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Wolverhampton Wanderers6Shrewsbury Town1Winner
X2 67%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 27% | 73% | 51% | 49% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 63% | 37% | 85% | 15% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33% | 67% | 67% | 33% |
| 29% | 71% | 60% | 40% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 87% | 13% | 96% | 4% |
| 84% | 16% | 95% | 5% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
21%
1-1
19%
X-2
17%
X-X
15%
X-1
13%
1-X
6%
2-X
5%
1-2
2%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
11.7%
0-1
9.9%
1-0
9.3%
1-2
8.4%
0-0
7.6%
0-2
7.5%
2-1
7.1%
2-0
5.4%
2-2
5.3%
1-3
4.1%
0-3
3.2%
3-1
3.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score