Sheffield Wednesday vs Brentford 0-2 Score & Prediction Review
FA Cup - Season 2025/2026 Round 3 (Knock Out)
0–2
On these chances Sheffield Wednesday would usually take 0.2 points and Brentford 2.7; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Brentford.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Sheffield Wednesday vs Brentford stats: how the match was played
FA Cup
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Brentford had more than twice the shots on target
Sheffield Wednesday
Brentford
3
Shots on target
11
1
Big chances
7
2
Corners
6
0
Yellow cards
0
35%
Possession
65%
Sheffield Wednesday vs Brentford — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · FA Cup
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Brentford to win
CorrectOur track record
In 2,464 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.6% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: No, not both.
Our track record
In 3,109 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 5,257 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.6% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,921 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.1% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).
Our model’s pick
Brentford ahead at half-time
CorrectOur track record
In 6,624 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).
Our model’s pick
Sheffield Wednesday 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 1,564 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).
Our model’s pick
Brentford 2+ goals
CorrectOur track record
In 987 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.2% of the time (bookmakers said 59.2%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Sheffield Wednesday vs Brentford 0-2 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Sheffield Wednesday vs Brentford. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Winner
2 55%
BTTS*
Yes 51%
Correct Score
0-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 56%
Winner
2 55%
BTTS*
Yes 51%
Correct Score
0-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 56%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 22% | 78% | 44% | 56% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 56% | 44% | 79% | 21% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 41% | 59% | 73% | 27% | |
| 19% | 81% | 47% | 53% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 90% | 10% | 97% | 3% | |
| 73% | 27% | 89% | 11% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
33%
X-2
20%
1-1
13%
X-X
12%
X-1
9%
1-X
5%
2-X
4%
1-2
3%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
0-1
10.3%
1-1
9.8%
1-2
9.5%
0-2
8.6%
1-0
6.2%
1-3
6.2%
0-3
5.7%
0-0
5.5%
2-1
5.5%
2-2
5.0%
2-3
3.3%
2-0
3.3%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score