Home
Leagues
FA Cup
Derby County vs Leeds United

Derby County vs Leeds United 1-3 Score & Prediction Review

FA Cup - Season 2025/2026 Round 3 (Knock Out)

The match between Derby County and Leeds United ended 1-3. Our AI model correctly predicted an Leeds United win with 41% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result & Both Teams To Score.

Derby County vs Leeds United 1-3 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Derby County vs Leeds United. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

FA Cup - England

Derby County1

Leeds United3

Winner

X2 67%

BTTS**

Yes 50%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 54%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 65%

· FT

FA Cup - England

Derby County1

Leeds United3

Winner

X2 67%

BTTS**

Yes 50%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 54%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 65%

Full Time

133%

X27%

241%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	29%	71%	54%	46%	65%	35%	87%	13%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	29%	71%	54%	46%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	65%	35%	87%	13%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	34%	66%	69%	31%	89%	11%	97%	3%
	29%	71%	63%	37%	85%	15%	95%	5%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	34%	66%	69%	31%
	29%	71%	63%	37%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	89%	11%	97%	3%
	85%	15%	95%	5%

1st Half

126%

X44%

230%

1st Score

143%

X8%

249%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

22%

1-1

18%

X-X

16%

X-2

16%

X-1

13%

1-X

2-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

12.8%

0-1

10.9%

1-0

10.0%

1-2

8.3%

0-0

8.3%

2-1

7.3%

0-2

7.1%

2-0

5.3%

2-2

4.7%

1-3

3.8%

0-3

3.2%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score