West Ham United vs Queens Park Rangers 2-1 Score & Prediction Review
FA Cup - Season 2025/2026 Round 3 (Knock Out)
West Ham United vs Queens Park Rangers stats: how the match was played
FA Cup
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
West Ham United created more than twice the chances
West Ham United
Queens Park Rangers
2.0
Chances (xG)
0.8
7
Shots on target
3
4
Big chances
0
11
Corners
3
3
Yellow cards
4
67%
Possession
33%
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →West Ham United vs Queens Park Rangers — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · FA Cup
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Queens Park Rangers to win
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: West Ham United to win.
Our track record
In 1,046 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 30.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.3% than to our 40–45%.
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
CorrectOur track record
In 6,410 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.4% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 5,124 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.2% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,921 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.1% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: West Ham United ahead at half-time.
Our track record
In 2,184 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.4% than to our 40–45%.
Our model’s pick
West Ham United 0–1 goals
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: West Ham United 2+ goals.
Our track record
In 76 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 51.3% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.1% than to our 65–70%.
Our model’s pick
Queens Park Rangers 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 1,589 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.4% of the time (bookmakers said 61.0%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
West Ham United vs Queens Park Rangers 2-1 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for West Ham United vs Queens Park Rangers. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
West Ham United2
Queens Park Rangers1Winner
X2 68%
BTTS*
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
West Ham United2Queens Park Rangers1Winner
X2 68%
BTTS*
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 24% | 76% | 48% | 52% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 60% | 40% | 84% | 16% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 32% | 68% | 66% | 34% |
 | 26% | 74% | 58% | 42% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 87% | 13% | 96% | 4% |
| 82% | 18% | 94% | 6% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
23%
1-1
17%
X-2
17%
X-X
14%
X-1
12%
1-X
6%
2-X
4%
1-2
3%
2-1
3%
Correct Score
1-1
11.9%
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.0%
1-0
8.0%
2-1
7.2%
0-2
6.8%
0-0
6.4%
2-2
5.8%
2-0
5.1%
1-3
4.8%
0-3
3.4%
3-1
3.2%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score