Swansea City vs West Bromwich Albion 2-2 Score & Prediction Review
FA Cup - Season 2025/2026 Round 3 (Knock Out)
Swansea City vs West Bromwich Albion stats: how the match was played
FA Cup
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Swansea City created more than twice the chances
Swansea City
West Bromwich Albion
2.6
Chances (xG)
1.0
7
Shots on target
3
5
Big chances
0
13
Corners
5
1
Yellow cards
3
60%
Possession
40%
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Swansea City vs West Bromwich Albion — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · FA Cup
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Swansea City to win
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: West Bromwich Albion to win.
Our track record
In 1,534 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 28.7% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 29.5% than to our 35–40%.
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
CorrectOur track record
In 6,519 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 5,201 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.5%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 4,587 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.5%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
CorrectOur track record
In 4,292 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.0% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).
Our model’s pick
Swansea City 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,483 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 64.1% of the time (bookmakers said 64.0%).
Our model’s pick
West Bromwich Albion 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,309 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.0% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Swansea City vs West Bromwich Albion 2-2 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Swansea City vs West Bromwich Albion. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Swansea City2
West Bromwich Albion2Winner
12 73%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
Swansea City2West Bromwich Albion2Winner
12 73%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 28% | 72% | 53% | 47% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 65% | 35% | 87% | 13% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 30% | 70% | 63% | 37% |
 | 32% | 68% | 66% | 34% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 87% | 13% | 96% | 4% |
| 87% | 13% | 96% | 4% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
20%
X-X
17%
2-2
17%
X-1
16%
X-2
14%
2-X
6%
1-X
5%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-1
12.4%
1-0
10.4%
0-1
9.6%
2-1
8.9%
0-0
8.0%
1-2
7.6%
2-0
6.5%
0-2
5.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-1
3.3%
1-3
3.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score