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Varaždin vs Slaven Koprivnica

Varaždin vs Slaven Koprivnica 1-2 Score & Prediction Review

1. HNL - Season 2026/2027 (Round 11)

Fair result

Varaždin

1–2

Slaven Koprivnica

1.5Chances (xG)0.7

On these chances Varaždin would usually take 2.0 points and Slaven Koprivnica 0.8; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Varaždin.

Varaždin −2.0 pts vs chancesSlaven Koprivnica +2.2 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Varaždin vs Slaven Koprivnica stats: how the match was played

1. HNL

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Varaždin

Slaven Koprivnica

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

Red cards

55%

Possession

45%

The match between Varaždin and Slaven Koprivnica ended 1-2. Our AI model predicted a Varaždin win at 51% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Rijeka – Varaždin prediction & betting tips (Nov 1, 2026).

Varaždin vs Slaven Koprivnica — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · 1. HNL

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Varaždin to win

Wrong

Our model 51%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 2,497 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.6% of the time (bookmakers said 55.2%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct

Our model 52%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 6,520 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct

Our model 52%Bookmakers 57%

Our track record

In 5,185 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.2% of the time (bookmakers said 56.5%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 71%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 4,604 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.1% of the time (bookmakers said 71.4%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Varaždin ahead at half-time.

Our model 44%Bookmakers 39%

Our track record

In 2,300 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.

Varaždin Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Varaždin 0–1 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Varaždin 2+ goals.

Our model 52%Bookmakers 42%

Our track record

In 1,899 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 41.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.6% than to our 50–55%.

Slaven Koprivnica Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Slaven Koprivnica 0–1 goals

Wrong

Our model 74%Bookmakers 72%

Our track record

In 3,396 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Varaždin vs Slaven Koprivnica 1-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Varaždin vs Slaven Koprivnica. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

1. HNL - Croatia

Varaždin1

Slaven Koprivnica2

Winner

1 51%

BTTS*

Yes 52%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 52%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 61%

· FT

1. HNL - Croatia

Varaždin1

Slaven Koprivnica2

Winner

1 51%

BTTS*

Yes 52%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 52%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 61%

Full Time

151%

X26%

223%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	25%	75%	48%	52%	61%	39%	84%	16%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	25%	75%	48%	52%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	61%	39%	84%	16%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	21%	79%	51%	49%	77%	23%	91%	9%
	41%	59%	74%	26%	91%	9%	97%	3%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	21%	79%	51%	49%
	41%	59%	74%	26%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	77%	23%	91%	9%
	91%	9%	97%	3%

1st Half

137%

X44%

219%

1st Score

159%

X8%

234%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

29%

X-1

19%

X-X

17%

2-2

11%

X-2

1-X

2-X

2-1

1-2

Correct Score

1-1

11.6%

1-0

10.8%

2-1

10.1%

2-0

8.6%

0-0

7.5%

0-1

6.3%

1-2

6.0%

2-2

5.5%

3-0

5.3%

3-1

5.0%

0-2

3.3%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Varaždin vs Slaven Koprivnica — Recent Form

Slaven Koprivnica have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 7th in the table. Varaždin have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 3rd in the table.

Last 5 matches

Slaven Koprivnica

Varaždin

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Slaven Koprivnica

1/5

Varaždin

2/5

Both Teams to Score

Slaven Koprivnica

4/5

Varaždin

2/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Slaven Koprivnica

4/5

Varaždin

2/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Slaven Koprivnica

2/5

Varaždin

4/5

First Half Result

Slaven Koprivnica

4/5

Varaždin

3/5

Correct Score

Slaven Koprivnica

0/5

Varaždin

0/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Rijeka – Varaždin prediction & betting tips (Nov 1, 2026).