Dinamo Zagreb vs Slaven Koprivnica 4-2 Score & Prediction Review
1. HNL - Season 2025/2026 (Round 26)
4–2
On these chances Dinamo Zagreb would usually take 2.7 points and Slaven Koprivnica 0.2; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Dinamo Zagreb.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Dinamo Zagreb vs Slaven Koprivnica stats: how the match was played
1. HNL
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Dinamo Zagreb had more than twice the shots on target
Dinamo Zagreb
Slaven Koprivnica
10
Shots on target
2
6
Big chances
1
5
Corners
0
0
Yellow cards
0
64%
Possession
36%
Dinamo Zagreb vs Slaven Koprivnica — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · 1. HNL
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Dinamo Zagreb to win
CorrectOur track record
In 618 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 70.6% of the time (bookmakers said 70.8%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: No, not both.
Our track record
In 3,126 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 5,322 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 3,969 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).
Our model’s pick
Dinamo Zagreb ahead at half-time
WrongOur track record
In 4,246 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.0% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).
Our model’s pick
Dinamo Zagreb 2+ goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,463 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 64.0% of the time (bookmakers said 64.0%).
Our model’s pick
Slaven Koprivnica 0–1 goals
WrongOur track record
In 1,499 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 78.9% of the time (bookmakers said 80.6%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Dinamo Zagreb vs Slaven Koprivnica 4-2 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Dinamo Zagreb vs Slaven Koprivnica. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Winner
1 66%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
2-0 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 55%
Winner
1 66%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
2-0 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 55%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 20% | 80% | 43% | 57% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 55% | 45% | 78% | 22% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13% | 87% | 38% | 62% | |
| 51% | 49% | 81% | 19% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 66% | 34% | 84% | 16% | |
| 95% | 5% | 99% | 1% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
42%
X-1
18%
X-X
12%
2-2
8%
X-2
6%
1-X
5%
2-X
4%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
2-0
11.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
10.5%
1-1
9.4%
3-0
7.7%
3-1
6.6%
0-0
5.1%
2-2
4.5%
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.0%
3-2
3.2%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score