1. Dinamo Zagreb vs Slaven Koprivnica

Dinamo Zagreb vs Slaven Koprivnica 4-2 Score & Prediction Review

1. HNL - Season 2025/2026 (Round 26)

Fair result
Dinamo ZagrebDinamo Zagreb

4–2

Slaven KoprivnicaSlaven Koprivnica
3.0Chances (xG)0.5

On these chances Dinamo Zagreb would usually take 2.7 points and Slaven Koprivnica 0.2; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Dinamo Zagreb.

Dinamo Zagreb +0.3 pts vs chancesSlaven Koprivnica −0.2 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Dinamo Zagreb vs Slaven Koprivnica stats: how the match was played

1. HNL

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Dinamo Zagreb had more than twice the shots on target

Dinamo Zagreb

Slaven Koprivnica

10

Shots on target

2

6

Big chances

1

5

Corners

0

0

Yellow cards

0

64%

Possession

36%

The match between Dinamo Zagreb and Slaven Koprivnica ended 4-2. Our AI model correctly predicted a Dinamo Zagreb win with 66% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 2.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Varaždin – Slaven Koprivnica prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

Dinamo Zagreb vs Slaven Koprivnica — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · 1. HNL

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Dinamo Zagreb to win

Correct
Our model 66%Bookmakers 75%

Our track record

In 618 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 70.6% of the time (bookmakers said 70.8%).

Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: No, not both.

Our model 52%Bookmakers 44%

Our track record

In 3,126 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 57%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 5,322 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 65%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 3,969 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Dinamo Zagreb ahead at half-time

Wrong
Our model 46%Bookmakers 57%

Our track record

In 4,246 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.0% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).

Dinamo Zagreb Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Dinamo Zagreb 2+ goals

Correct
Our model 62%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 3,463 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 64.0% of the time (bookmakers said 64.0%).

Slaven Koprivnica Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Slaven Koprivnica 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 82%Bookmakers 85%

Our track record

In 1,499 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 78.9% of the time (bookmakers said 80.6%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Dinamo Zagreb vs Slaven Koprivnica 4-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Dinamo Zagreb vs Slaven Koprivnica. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Dinamo ZagrebDinamo Zagreb4
Slaven KoprivnicaSlaven Koprivnica2

Winner

1 66%

BTTS*

Yes 52%

Correct Score

2-0 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 57%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 55%

Full Time

166%
X20%
214%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT20%80%43%57%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT55%45%78%22%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Dinamo Zagreb13%87%38%62%
Slaven Koprivnica51%49%81%19%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Dinamo Zagreb66%34%84%16%
Slaven Koprivnica95%5%99%1%

1st Half

146%
X36%
218%

1st Score

166%
X5%
229%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

42%

X-1

18%

X-X

12%

2-2

8%

X-2

6%

1-X

5%

2-X

4%

2-1

3%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

2-0

11.2%

1-0

10.9%

2-1

10.5%

1-1

9.4%

3-0

7.7%

3-1

6.6%

0-0

5.1%

2-2

4.5%

0-1

4.3%

1-2

4.0%

3-2

3.2%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Varaždin – Slaven Koprivnica prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

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