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Fagiano Okayama vs Kawasaki Frontale 0-0 Score & Prediction Review

J-League - Season 2025 (Round 6)

Robbed

Fagiano Okayama drew despite more chances

Fagiano OkayamaFagiano Okayama

0–0

Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale
2.0Chances (xG)0.9

On these chances Fagiano Okayama would usually take 2.1 points and Kawasaki Frontale 0.7; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Kawasaki Frontale.

Fagiano Okayama −1.1 pts vs chancesKawasaki Frontale +0.3 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Fagiano Okayama vs Kawasaki Frontale stats: how the match was played

J-League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Fagiano Okayama had more than twice the shots on target

Fagiano Okayama

Kawasaki Frontale

4

Shots on target

1

3

Big chances

2

6

Corners

7

0

Yellow cards

2

46%

Possession

54%

The match between Fagiano Okayama and Kawasaki Frontale ended 0-0. Our AI model predicted an Kawasaki Frontale win at 46% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Over/Under 3.5 Goals — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Kawasaki Frontale – Fagiano Okayama prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).

Fagiano Okayama vs Kawasaki Frontale — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · J-League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Kawasaki Frontale to win

Wrong
Our model 46%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 3,477 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.6% of the time (bookmakers said 50.6%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong
Our model 54%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 6,458 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.2% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Under 2.5 goals.

Our model 51%Bookmakers 47%

Our track record

In 2,836 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 71%Bookmakers 75%

Our track record

In 4,551 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.5%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct
Our model 45%Bookmakers 43%

Our track record

In 4,234 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.0% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).

Fagiano Okayama Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Fagiano Okayama 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 70%Bookmakers 75%

Our track record

In 1,579 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.8% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Kawasaki Frontale Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Kawasaki Frontale 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 56%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 1,587 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.9% of the time (bookmakers said 60.9%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Fagiano Okayama vs Kawasaki Frontale 0-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Fagiano Okayama vs Kawasaki Frontale. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
J-League - Japan
Fagiano OkayamaFagiano Okayama0
Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale0

Winner

X2 72%

BTTS*

Yes 54%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 51%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 61%

Full Time

128%
X26%
246%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT25%75%49%51%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT61%39%84%16%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Fagiano Okayama36%64%70%30%
Kawasaki Frontale24%76%56%44%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Fagiano Okayama89%11%97%3%
Kawasaki Frontale80%20%93%7%

1st Half

121%
X45%
234%

1st Score

135%
X7%
258%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

28%

X-X

18%

X-2

16%

1-1

13%

X-1

10%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

1-2

3%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-1

12.0%

0-1

10.2%

1-2

9.3%

1-0

7.8%

0-2

7.7%

0-0

7.1%

2-1

6.8%

2-2

5.5%

1-3

4.7%

2-0

4.3%

0-3

3.9%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Kawasaki Frontale – Fagiano Okayama prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).

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