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FC Tokyo vs Urawa Reds

Tokyo vs Urawa Reds 3-0 Score & Prediction Review

J-League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 9)

Fair result

Tokyo

3–0

Urawa Reds

1.5Chances (xG)0.8

On these chances Tokyo would usually take 1.9 points and Urawa Reds 0.9; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Tokyo.

Tokyo +1.1 pts vs chancesUrawa Reds −0.9 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Tokyo vs Urawa Reds stats: how the match was played

J-League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Tokyo had more than twice the shots on target

Tokyo

Urawa Reds

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

54%

Possession

46%

The match between Tokyo and Urawa Reds ended 3-0. Our AI model correctly predicted a Tokyo win with 50% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Urawa Reds – V-Varen Nagasaki prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).

Tokyo vs Urawa Reds — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · J-League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Tokyo to win

Correct

Our model 50%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 2,471 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.8% of the time (bookmakers said 55.1%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong

Our model 60%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 2,460 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.6% of the time (bookmakers said 61.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct

Our model 59%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 5,306 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 64%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 2,382 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct

Our model 40%Bookmakers 40%

Our track record

In 6,656 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Tokyo Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Tokyo 2+ goals

Correct

Our model 52%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 2,799 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.4% of the time (bookmakers said 58.7%).

Urawa Reds Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Urawa Reds 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 67%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 3,274 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.0% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Tokyo vs Urawa Reds 3-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Tokyo vs Urawa Reds. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

J-League - Japan

Tokyo3

Urawa Reds0

Winner

1 50%

BTTS*

Yes 60%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 59%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 54%

· FT

J-League - Japan

Tokyo3

Urawa Reds0

Winner

1 50%

BTTS*

Yes 60%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 59%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 54%

Full Time

150%

X23%

227%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	19%	81%	41%	59%	54%	46%	78%	22%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	19%	81%	41%	59%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	54%	46%	78%	22%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	19%	81%	48%	52%	75%	25%	90%	10%
	35%	65%	67%	33%	88%	12%	96%	4%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	19%	81%	48%	52%
	35%	65%	67%	33%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	75%	25%	90%	10%
	88%	12%	96%	4%

1st Half

139%

X40%

220%

1st Score

160%

X5%

235%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

33%

X-1

18%

X-X

14%

2-2

12%

X-2

1-X

2-X

2-1

1-2

Correct Score

1-1

10.6%

2-1

10.5%

1-0

8.7%

2-0

7.3%

1-2

6.7%

2-2

6.2%

0-1

5.5%

3-1

5.4%

0-0

4.9%

3-0

4.5%

3-2

3.7%

0-2

3.6%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Tokyo vs Urawa Reds — Recent Form

Tokyo have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 2nd in the table. Urawa Reds have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 8th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Tokyo

Urawa Reds

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Urawa Reds

4/5

Tokyo

3/5

Both Teams to Score

Urawa Reds

2/5

Tokyo

1/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Urawa Reds

3/5

Tokyo

2/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Urawa Reds

3/5

Tokyo

4/5

First Half Result

Urawa Reds

4/5

Tokyo

3/5

Correct Score

Urawa Reds

0/5

Tokyo

0/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Urawa Reds – V-Varen Nagasaki prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).