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Kyoto Sanga vs Machida Zelvia

Kyoto Sanga vs Machida Zelvia 0-1 Score & Prediction Review

J-League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 9)

Fair result

Kyoto Sanga

0–1

Machida Zelvia

1.5Chances (xG)0.9

On these chances Kyoto Sanga would usually take 1.8 points and Machida Zelvia 0.9; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Machida Zelvia.

Kyoto Sanga −1.8 pts vs chancesMachida Zelvia +2.1 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Kyoto Sanga vs Machida Zelvia stats: how the match was played

J-League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Kyoto Sanga

Machida Zelvia

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

39%

Possession

62%

The match between Kyoto Sanga and Machida Zelvia ended 0-1. Our AI model correctly predicted an Machida Zelvia win with 46% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Vissel Kobe – Machida Zelvia prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

Kyoto Sanga vs Machida Zelvia — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · J-League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Machida Zelvia to win

Correct

Our model 46%Bookmakers 51%

Our track record

In 3,478 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.6% of the time (bookmakers said 50.6%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong

Our model 53%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 6,459 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct

Our model 51%Bookmakers 51%

Our track record

In 5,152 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 72%Bookmakers 74%

Our track record

In 4,552 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.5%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct

Our model 44%Bookmakers 43%

Our track record

In 6,652 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Kyoto Sanga Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Kyoto Sanga 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 72%Bookmakers 74%

Our track record

In 1,579 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.8% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Machida Zelvia Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Machida Zelvia 0–1 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Machida Zelvia 2+ goals.

Our model 56%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 635 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 45.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 44.6% than to our 55–60%.

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Kyoto Sanga vs Machida Zelvia 0-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Kyoto Sanga vs Machida Zelvia. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

J-League - Japan

Kyoto Sanga0

Machida Zelvia1

Winner

X2 72%

BTTS*

Yes 53%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 51%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 62%

· FT

J-League - Japan

Kyoto Sanga0

Machida Zelvia1

Winner

X2 72%

BTTS*

Yes 53%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 51%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 62%

Full Time

127%

X26%

246%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	26%	74%	51%	49%	62%	38%	86%	14%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	26%	74%	51%	49%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	62%	38%	86%	14%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	36%	64%	72%	28%	90%	10%	97%	3%
	24%	76%	56%	44%	81%	19%	93%	7%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	36%	64%	72%	28%
	24%	76%	56%	44%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	90%	10%	97%	3%
	81%	19%	93%	7%

1st Half

123%

X43%

233%

1st Score

141%

X7%

252%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

27%

X-X

16%

X-2

16%

1-1

14%

X-1

10%

1-X

2-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

12.7%

0-1

10.4%

1-2

9.3%

0-2

8.0%

1-0

8.0%

0-0

7.2%

2-1

6.7%

1-3

5.9%

2-2

5.5%

2-0

4.2%

0-3

3.8%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Kyoto Sanga vs Machida Zelvia — Recent Form

Machida Zelvia have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 1st in the table. Kyoto Sanga have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 17th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Machida Zelvia

Kyoto Sanga

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Kyoto Sanga

3/5

Machida Zelvia

3/5

Both Teams to Score

Kyoto Sanga

2/5

Machida Zelvia

3/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Kyoto Sanga

3/5

Machida Zelvia

2/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Kyoto Sanga

3/5

Machida Zelvia

3/5

First Half Result

Kyoto Sanga

2/5

Machida Zelvia

1/5

Correct Score

Kyoto Sanga

0/5

Machida Zelvia

1/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Vissel Kobe – Machida Zelvia prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).