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Granada vs Real Valladolid

Granada vs Real Valladolid 2-1 Score & Prediction Review

La Liga 2 - Season 2026/2027 (Round 11)

Fair result

Granada

2–1

Real Valladolid

1.3Chances (xG)1.6

On these chances Granada would usually take 1.2 points and Real Valladolid 1.6; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Granada.

Granada +1.8 pts vs chancesReal Valladolid −1.6 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Granada vs Real Valladolid stats: how the match was played

La Liga 2

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Granada

Real Valladolid

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

Red cards

41%

Possession

59%

The match between Granada and Real Valladolid ended 2-1. Our AI model correctly predicted a Granada win with 44% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Eldense – Granada prediction & betting tips (Nov 1, 2026).

Granada vs Real Valladolid — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · La Liga 2

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Granada to win

Correct

Our model 44%Bookmakers 44%

Our track record

In 3,639 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.7% of the time (bookmakers said 47.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Yes, both score.

Our model 51%Bookmakers 49%

Our track record

In 3,121 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 57%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 5,337 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 78%Bookmakers 75%

Our track record

In 3,637 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.2% of the time (bookmakers said 76.2%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

Our model 44%Bookmakers 42%

Our track record

In 6,693 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.4% of the time (bookmakers said 44.1%).

Granada Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Granada 0–1 goals

Wrong

Our model 61%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 3,467 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.9% of the time (bookmakers said 63.9%).

Real Valladolid Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Real Valladolid 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 73%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 3,395 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Granada vs Real Valladolid 2-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Granada vs Real Valladolid. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

La Liga 2 - Spain

Granada2

Real Valladolid1

Winner

1X 72%

BTTS*

No 51%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 57%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 68%

· FT

La Liga 2 - Spain

Granada2

Real Valladolid1

Winner

1X 72%

BTTS*

No 51%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 57%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 68%

Full Time

144%

X28%

228%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	31%	69%	57%	43%	68%	32%	89%	11%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	31%	69%	57%	43%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	68%	32%	89%	11%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	27%	73%	61%	39%	85%	15%	95%	5%
	38%	62%	73%	27%	92%	8%	98%	2%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	27%	73%	61%	39%
	38%	62%	73%	27%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	85%	15%	95%	5%
	92%	8%	98%	2%

1st Half

133%

X44%

223%

1st Score

153%

X9%

238%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

23%

X-X

18%

X-1

16%

2-2

15%

X-2

11%

2-X

1-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

13.1%

1-0

12.5%

0-0

9.3%

2-1

8.9%

0-1

8.8%

2-0

8.3%

1-2

6.9%

2-2

4.8%

0-2

4.6%

3-0

3.8%

3-1

3.8%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Granada vs Real Valladolid — Recent Form

Granada have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 5th in the table. Real Valladolid have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 16th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Granada

Real Valladolid

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Granada

2/5

Real Valladolid

3/5

Both Teams to Score

Granada

3/5

Real Valladolid

2/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Granada

2/5

Real Valladolid

2/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Granada

3/5

Real Valladolid

1/5

First Half Result

Granada

1/5

Real Valladolid

1/5

Correct Score

Granada

0/5

Real Valladolid

0/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Eldense – Granada prediction & betting tips (Nov 1, 2026).