Mallorca vs Rayo Vallecano 3-0 Score & Prediction Review
La Liga - Season 2022/2023 (Round 38)
Mallorca3–0
Rayo VallecanoOn these chances Mallorca would usually take 1.1 points and Rayo Vallecano 1.7; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Rayo Vallecano.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Mallorca vs Rayo Vallecano stats: how the match was played
La Liga
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Level on shots on target
Mallorca
Rayo Vallecano
4
Shots on target
4
5
Big chances
0
2
Corners
6
0
Yellow cards
0
49%
Possession
51%
Mallorca vs Rayo Vallecano — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · La Liga
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Mallorca to win
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Rayo Vallecano to win.
Our track record
In 1,069 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 30.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.3% than to our 40–45%.
Our model’s pick
No, not both
CorrectOur track record
In 6,519 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 5,354 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,682 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.0% of the time (bookmakers said 76.2%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
CorrectOur track record
In 4,292 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.0% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).
Our model’s pick
Mallorca 0–1 goals
WrongOur track record
In 3,483 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 64.1% of the time (bookmakers said 64.0%).
Our model’s pick
Rayo Vallecano 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 2,591 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 74.7% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Mallorca vs Rayo Vallecano 3-0 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Mallorca vs Rayo Vallecano. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Mallorca3
Rayo Vallecano0Winner
1X 72%
BTTS*
No 54%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 59%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 69%
Mallorca3Rayo Vallecano0Winner
1X 72%
BTTS*
No 54%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 59%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 69%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 33% | 67% | 59% | 41% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 69% | 31% | 90% | 10% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28% | 72% | 63% | 37% |
| 39% | 61% | 75% | 25% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
X-X
22%
1-1
21%
2-2
16%
X-1
14%
X-2
13%
2-X
6%
1-X
5%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-1
13.4%
1-0
13.1%
0-0
10.0%
0-1
9.8%
2-1
8.9%
2-0
8.3%
1-2
6.5%
0-2
4.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-1
3.8%
3-0
3.6%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score