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Real Betis vs Valencia 1-1 Score & Prediction Review

La Liga - Season 2022/2023 (Round 38)

Fair result
Real BetisReal Betis

1–1

ValenciaValencia
0.7Chances (xG)0.9

On these chances Real Betis would usually take 1.2 points and Valencia 1.4; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Valencia.

Real Betis −0.2 pts vs chancesValencia −0.4 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Real Betis vs Valencia stats: how the match was played

La Liga

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Real Betis

Valencia

3

Shots on target

3

1

Big chances

1

4

Corners

4

3

Yellow cards

0

0

Red cards

1

62%

Possession

38%

The match between Real Betis and Valencia ended 1-1. Our AI model predicted a Real Betis win at 43% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Celta de Vigo – Real Betis prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).

Real Betis vs Valencia — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · La Liga

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Real Betis to win

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Valencia to win.

Our model 43%Bookmakers 33%

Our track record

In 1,069 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 30.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.3% than to our 40–45%.

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 50%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 6,519 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 54%Bookmakers 55%

Our track record

In 5,201 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.5%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 76%Bookmakers 78%

Our track record

In 3,682 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.0% of the time (bookmakers said 76.2%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong
Our model 45%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 6,711 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.5% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Real Betis Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Real Betis 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 62%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 3,483 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 64.1% of the time (bookmakers said 64.0%).

Valencia Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Valencia 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 70%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 3,309 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.0% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Real Betis vs Valencia 1-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Real Betis vs Valencia. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
La Liga - Spain
Real BetisReal Betis1
ValenciaValencia1

Winner

1X 69%

BTTS*

Yes 50%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 54%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 66%

Full Time

143%
X26%
231%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT29%71%54%46%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT66%34%88%12%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Real Betis28%72%62%38%
Valencia35%65%70%30%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Real Betis0%0%0%0%
Valencia0%0%0%0%

1st Half

129%
X45%
226%

1st Score

149%
X8%
243%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

22%

X-X

18%

2-2

18%

X-1

14%

X-2

13%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

1-2

2%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-1

12.8%

1-0

11.5%

0-1

9.4%

2-1

8.8%

0-0

8.2%

2-0

7.5%

1-2

7.1%

0-2

5.3%

2-2

5.0%

3-1

3.8%

3-0

3.3%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Celta de Vigo – Real Betis prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).

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