1. Real Valladolid vs Getafe

Real Valladolid vs Getafe 0-0 Score & Prediction Review

La Liga - Season 2022/2023 (Round 38)

Fair result
Real ValladolidReal Valladolid

0–0

GetafeGetafe
1.0Chances (xG)0.3

On these chances Real Valladolid would usually take 1.9 points and Getafe 0.7; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Real Valladolid.

Real Valladolid −0.9 pts vs chancesGetafe +0.3 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Real Valladolid vs Getafe stats: how the match was played

La Liga

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Getafe had more than twice the shots on target

Real Valladolid

Getafe

0

Shots on target

1

0

Big chances

0

6

Corners

1

1

Yellow cards

3

79%

Possession

21%

The match between Real Valladolid and Getafe ended 0-0. Our AI model predicted a Real Valladolid win at 48% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Athletic Club – Getafe prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).

Real Valladolid vs Getafe — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · La Liga

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Real Valladolid to win

Wrong
Our model 48%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 3,514 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.5% of the time (bookmakers said 50.5%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Correct
Our model 52%Bookmakers 55%

Our track record

In 6,519 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 58%Bookmakers 61%

Our track record

In 5,354 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 78%Bookmakers 81%

Our track record

In 3,682 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.0% of the time (bookmakers said 76.2%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct
Our model 45%Bookmakers 47%

Our track record

In 6,711 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.5% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Real Valladolid Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Real Valladolid 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 60%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 3,483 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 64.1% of the time (bookmakers said 64.0%).

Getafe Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Getafe 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 76%Bookmakers 79%

Our track record

In 2,591 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 74.7% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Real Valladolid vs Getafe 0-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Real Valladolid vs Getafe. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Real ValladolidReal Valladolid0
GetafeGetafe0

Winner

1X 75%

BTTS*

No 52%

Correct Score

1-0 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 58%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 68%

Full Time

148%
X27%
225%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT32%68%58%42%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT68%32%89%11%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Real Valladolid26%74%60%40%
Getafe40%60%76%24%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Real Valladolid0%0%0%0%
Getafe0%0%0%0%

1st Half

135%
X45%
220%

1st Score

154%
X9%
236%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

29%

X-1

17%

X-X

17%

2-2

12%

X-2

9%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

2-1

3%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

1-0

13.3%

1-1

13.2%

2-1

9.7%

0-0

9.4%

0-1

8.9%

2-0

8.8%

1-2

5.8%

2-2

4.5%

0-2

4.3%

3-1

4.1%

3-0

3.7%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Athletic Club – Getafe prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).

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