1. Levante vs Atlético de Madrid

Levante vs Atlético Madrid 0-2 Score & Prediction Review

La Liga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 11)

Fair result
LevanteLevante

0–2

Atlético MadridAtlético Madrid
1.8Chances (xG)1.1

On these chances Levante would usually take 1.8 points and Atlético Madrid 0.9; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Atlético Madrid.

Levante −1.8 pts vs chancesAtlético Madrid +2.1 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Levante vs Atlético Madrid stats: how the match was played

La Liga

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Levante

Atlético Madrid

4

Shots on target

5

2

Big chances

2

5

Corners

3

1

Yellow cards

0

45%

Possession

56%

The match between Levante and Atlético Madrid ended 0-2. Our AI model correctly predicted an Atlético Madrid win with 50% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Celta de Vigo – Levante prediction & betting tips (Nov 8, 2026).

Levante vs Atlético Madrid — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · La Liga

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Atlético Madrid to win

Correct
Our model 50%Bookmakers 64%

Our track record

In 2,466 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.0% of the time (bookmakers said 55.3%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong
Our model 58%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 5,717 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 56%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 5,307 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 67%Bookmakers 59%

Our track record

In 3,961 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.2% of the time (bookmakers said 66.7%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Atlético Madrid ahead at half-time.

Our model 42%Bookmakers 36%

Our track record

In 2,277 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.

Levante Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Levante 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 71%Bookmakers 72%

Our track record

In 1,586 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.8% of the time (bookmakers said 71.9%).

Atlético Madrid Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Atlético Madrid 2+ goals

Correct
Our model 51%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 1,014 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.9% of the time (bookmakers said 59.4%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Levante vs Atlético Madrid 0-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Levante vs Atlético Madrid. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
LevanteLevante0
Atlético MadridAtlético Madrid2

Winner

2 50%

BTTS*

Yes 58%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 57%

Full Time

125%
X25%
250%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT21%79%44%56%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT57%43%81%19%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Levante37%63%71%29%
Atlético Madrid20%80%49%51%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Levante89%11%97%3%
Atlético Madrid76%24%91%9%

1st Half

122%
X42%
236%

1st Score

138%
X6%
257%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

28%

X-2

18%

X-X

15%

1-1

13%

X-1

9%

2-X

7%

1-X

5%

1-2

4%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-1

11.4%

1-2

10.2%

0-1

9.4%

0-2

8.1%

2-1

6.4%

1-0

6.3%

2-2

6.0%

0-0

5.8%

1-3

5.5%

0-3

4.7%

2-0

3.4%

2-3

3.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Levante vs Atlético Madrid — Recent Form

Atlético Madrid have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 2nd in the table. Levante have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 18th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Atlético MadridAtlético Madrid
W
W
W
W
W
LevanteLevante
L
L
W
D
D

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

LevanteLevante
2/5
Atlético MadridAtlético Madrid
4/5

Both Teams to Score

LevanteLevante
4/5
Atlético MadridAtlético Madrid
3/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

LevanteLevante
3/5
Atlético MadridAtlético Madrid
3/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

LevanteLevante
3/5
Atlético MadridAtlético Madrid
5/5

First Half Result

LevanteLevante
1/5
Atlético MadridAtlético Madrid
4/5

Correct Score

LevanteLevante
1/5
Atlético MadridAtlético Madrid
2/5
W
D
L
Last 5 Matches
correct predictionwrong prediction
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Celta de Vigo – Levante prediction & betting tips (Nov 8, 2026).

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