Brick wall
5/10Athletic Club kept 5 clean sheets in their last 10 (league 24%).
Athletic Club vs Espanyol Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
La Liga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 13)
Brick wall
Athletic Club kept 5 clean sheets in their last 10 (league 24%).
5/10Clean sheets · Athletic Club
Bookmakers: Athletic Club 65% to winEspanyol 13%
Athletic Club vs Espanyol score prediction
La Liga
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Athletic Club expected to create clearly more
2.6 goals in total, a little under the La Liga average of 2.8.
goals expected
Athletic Club1.7
Espanyol0.9Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Athletic Club vs Espanyol: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Athletic Club vs Espanyol — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · La Liga
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Athletic Club to win
Our model 54%Bookmakers 65%
Our track record
In 2,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.0% of the time (bookmakers said 55.2%).
Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our model 52%Bookmakers 48%
Our track record
In 3,116 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our model 52%Bookmakers 53%
Our track record
In 5,193 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.2% of the time (bookmakers said 56.5%).
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 72%Bookmakers 69%
Our track record
In 4,604 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.3% of the time (bookmakers said 71.4%).
First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our model 42%Bookmakers 40%
Our track record
In 2,299 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.
Athletic Club Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Athletic Club 2+ goals
Our model 51%Bookmakers 58%
Our track record
In 2,821 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.4% of the time (bookmakers said 58.7%).
Espanyol Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Espanyol 0–1 goals
Our model 76%Bookmakers 83%
Our track record
In 2,584 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 74.5% of the time (bookmakers said 76.3%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Athletic Club vs Espanyol — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Athletic Club vs Espanyol. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Athletic Club–
Espanyol–Winner
1 54%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
Athletic Club–Espanyol–Winner
1 54%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
Full Time
154%
X24%
221%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 24% | 76% | 48% | 52% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 61% | 39% | 84% | 16% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18% | 82% | 49% | 51% |
| 42% | 58% | 76% | 24% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 76% | 24% | 91% | 9% |
| 93% | 7% | 98% | 2% |
1st Half
140%
X42%
218%
1st Score
162%
X7%
231%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
33%
X-1
19%
X-X
15%
2-2
11%
X-2
8%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-1
11.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
10.5%
2-0
9.5%
0-0
6.5%
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.9%
3-0
5.7%
3-1
5.4%
2-2
5.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Athletic Club vs Espanyol: the stats that stand out
La Liga
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Athletic Club: brick wall and flop as favourites · Espanyol: always on the scoresheet
5/10Always on the scoresheet
1/10Espanyol failed to score in only 1 of their last 10 (league 24%).
Flop as favourites
3/8Athletic Club won only 3 of 8 as favourites (league 55%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Athletic Club vs Espanyol: attack vs defence
La Liga
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other La Liga teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Athletic Club: good attack, good defence (1.55 xG, 1.18 xGA a game)
- Espanyol: weak attack, weak defence (1.05 xG, 1.59 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Athletic Club vs Espanyol form and luck check
La Liga
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 La Liga gamesBoth results in line with their chances
- Athletic ClubBookmakers: 65% to win today.−2.2
- EspanyolBookmakers: 13% to win today.−1.5
Last 5 matches
Athletic ClubD
W
W
L
D
EspanyolD
W
L
L
D
W
D
L
Strength rank: Athletic Club 5th of 20 · Espanyol 15th of 20
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 20 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Athletic Club vs Espanyol: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
La Liga
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 La Liga gamesBTTS = both teams scoredBoth teams score in Athletic Club games less often than the La Liga average (57%), in Espanyol games more often.
Over 2.5 goalsleague 52%
Athletic Club5 of 10
Espanyol5 of 10
BTTSleague 57%
Athletic Club4 of 10
Espanyol7 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 380 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Athletic Club vs Espanyol corners, cards and goal times
La Liga
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per game- Corners won: league 4.8
- Cards: league 2.4
- Goals before half-time: league 43%
- Goals after 75': league 25%
Corners and cards for every league: League stats →
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Espanyol2/5
Athletic Club2/5
Both Teams to Score
Espanyol2/5
Athletic Club4/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Espanyol3/5
Athletic Club4/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Espanyol5/5
Athletic Club3/5
First Half Result
Espanyol4/5
Athletic Club2/5
Correct Score
Espanyol2/5
Athletic Club1/5
correct predictionwrong prediction