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Elche vs Athletic Club 0-0 Score & Prediction Review

La Liga - Season 2025/2026 (Round 9)

Robbed

Elche drew despite more chances

ElcheElche

0–0

Athletic ClubAthletic Club
1.3Chances (xG)0.3

On these chances Elche would usually take 2.2 points and Athletic Club 0.6; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Athletic Club.

Elche −1.2 pts vs chancesAthletic Club +0.5 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Elche vs Athletic Club stats: how the match was played

La Liga

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Elche had more than twice the shots on target

Elche

Athletic Club

5

Shots on target

1

0

Big chances

0

6

Corners

2

2

Yellow cards

3

69%

Possession

31%

The match between Elche and Athletic Club ended 0-0. Our AI model predicted a Elche win at 49% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Elche – Celta de Vigo prediction & betting tips (Oct 11, 2026).

Elche vs Athletic Club — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · La Liga

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Elche to win

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Athletic Club to win.

Our model 49%Bookmakers 23%

Our track record

In 370 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 27.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.9% than to our 45–50%.

Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: No, not both.

Our model 51%Bookmakers 48%

Our track record

In 3,089 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 52%Bookmakers 55%

Our track record

In 5,076 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.0% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 74%Bookmakers 78%

Our track record

In 4,478 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.3% of the time (bookmakers said 71.7%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct
Our model 41%Bookmakers 45%

Our track record

In 6,581 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.8% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Elche Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Elche 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 55%Bookmakers 77%

Our track record

In 3,390 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.6% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).

Athletic Club Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Athletic Club 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 74%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 3,303 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.7% of the time (bookmakers said 72.1%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Elche vs Athletic Club 0-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Elche vs Athletic Club. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
La Liga - Spain
ElcheElche0
Athletic ClubAthletic Club0

Winner

1X 75%

BTTS*

Yes 51%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 52%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 64%

Full Time

149%
X26%
225%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT27%73%52%48%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT64%36%86%14%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Elche23%77%55%45%
Athletic Club40%60%74%26%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Elche80%20%93%7%
Athletic Club92%8%98%2%

1st Half

140%
X41%
219%

1st Score

159%
X8%
233%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

32%

X-1

21%

X-X

14%

2-2

10%

X-2

7%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

2-1

4%

1-2

1%

Correct Score

1-1

12.1%

1-0

11.9%

2-1

9.7%

2-0

8.7%

0-1

7.6%

0-0

7.6%

1-2

6.3%

2-2

4.8%

3-0

4.6%

3-1

4.6%

0-2

4.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Elche – Celta de Vigo prediction & betting tips (Oct 11, 2026).

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