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Levante vs Rayo Vallecano 0-3 Score & Prediction Review

La Liga - Season 2025/2026 (Round 9)

Fair result
LevanteLevante

0–3

Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
1.5Chances (xG)1.3

On these chances Levante would usually take 1.5 points and Rayo Vallecano 1.3; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Levante.

Levante −1.5 pts vs chancesRayo Vallecano +1.7 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Levante vs Rayo Vallecano stats: how the match was played

La Liga

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Levante

Rayo Vallecano

4

Shots on target

5

1

Big chances

5

11

Corners

4

0

Yellow cards

1

53%

Possession

47%

The match between Levante and Rayo Vallecano ended 0-3. Our AI model correctly predicted an Rayo Vallecano win with 44% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Rayo Vallecano – Elche prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

Levante vs Rayo Vallecano — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · La Liga

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Rayo Vallecano to win

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Levante to win.

Our model 44%Bookmakers 35%

Our track record

In 1,057 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 30.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.2% than to our 40–45%.

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong
Our model 57%Bookmakers 55%

Our track record

In 5,693 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.7% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 54%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 5,151 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 69%Bookmakers 73%

Our track record

In 3,956 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.4% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong
Our model 41%Bookmakers 44%

Our track record

In 6,651 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Levante Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Levante 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 66%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 2,671 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.9% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).

Rayo Vallecano Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Rayo Vallecano 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 56%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 1,587 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.9% of the time (bookmakers said 60.9%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Levante vs Rayo Vallecano 0-3 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Levante vs Rayo Vallecano. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
La Liga - Spain
LevanteLevante0
Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano3

Winner

X2 68%

BTTS*

Yes 57%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 54%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 59%

Full Time

132%
X25%
244%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT23%77%46%54%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT59%41%83%17%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Levante32%68%66%34%
Rayo Vallecano24%76%56%44%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Levante88%12%96%4%
Rayo Vallecano81%19%94%7%

1st Half

124%
X41%
235%

1st Score

141%
X6%
253%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

27%

1-1

16%

X-2

16%

X-X

14%

X-1

10%

2-X

6%

1-X

5%

1-2

3%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-1

11.8%

1-2

9.6%

0-1

9.2%

1-0

7.7%

2-1

7.7%

0-2

7.0%

2-2

5.9%

0-0

5.8%

2-0

4.8%

1-3

4.7%

0-3

3.6%

2-3

3.1%

3-1

3.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Rayo Vallecano – Elche prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

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