Celta de Vigo vs Athletic Club 2-0 Score & Prediction Review
La Liga - Season 2025/2026 (Round 16)
Celta de Vigo2–0
Athletic ClubOn these chances Celta de Vigo would usually take 1.1 points and Athletic Club 1.7; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Athletic Club.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Celta de Vigo vs Athletic Club stats: how the match was played
La Liga
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Level on shots on target
Celta de Vigo
Athletic Club
2
Shots on target
2
5
Big chances
2
1
Corners
4
3
Yellow cards
2
51%
Possession
49%
Celta de Vigo vs Athletic Club — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · La Liga
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Celta de Vigo to win
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Athletic Club to win.
Our track record
In 1,510 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 28.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 29.5% than to our 35–40%.
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
WrongOur track record
In 6,407 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 5,123 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.2% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 4,517 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.6%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
CorrectOur track record
In 6,623 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).
Our model’s pick
Celta de Vigo 0–1 goals
WrongOur track record
In 3,423 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 64.0% of the time (bookmakers said 64.0%).
Our model’s pick
Athletic Club 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 2,660 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.0% of the time (bookmakers said 63.8%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Celta de Vigo vs Athletic Club 2-0 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Celta de Vigo vs Athletic Club. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Celta de Vigo2
Athletic Club0Winner
12 73%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Celta de Vigo2Athletic Club0Winner
12 73%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 27% | 73% | 52% | 48% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 64% | 36% | 86% | 14% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30% | 70% | 64% | 36% |
| 31% | 69% | 65% | 35% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 86% | 14% | 96% | 4% |
| 87% | 13% | 96% | 4% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
23%
2-2
18%
X-X
16%
X-1
13%
X-2
12%
2-X
7%
1-X
6%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-1
12.8%
1-0
9.8%
0-1
9.4%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
8.2%
0-0
7.9%
2-0
6.2%
0-2
6.0%
2-2
5.5%
3-1
3.5%
1-3
3.3%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score