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Getafe vs Real Sociedad 1-2 Score & Prediction Review

La Liga - Season 2025/2026 (Round 19)

Fair result
GetafeGetafe

1–2

Real SociedadReal Sociedad
0.7Chances (xG)1.4

On these chances Getafe would usually take 0.8 points and Real Sociedad 1.9; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Real Sociedad.

Getafe −0.8 pts vs chancesReal Sociedad +1.1 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Getafe vs Real Sociedad stats: how the match was played

La Liga

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Real Sociedad had clearly more shots on target

Getafe

Real Sociedad

3

Shots on target

5

1

Big chances

3

2

Corners

4

2

Yellow cards

1

43%

Possession

57%

The match between Getafe and Real Sociedad ended 1-2. Our AI model correctly predicted an Real Sociedad win with 49% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Málaga – Real Sociedad prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

Getafe vs Real Sociedad — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · La Liga

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Real Sociedad to win

Correct
Our model 49%Bookmakers 41%

Our track record

In 3,442 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.4% of the time (bookmakers said 50.4%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Wrong
Our model 57%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 5,615 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.0% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 64%Bookmakers 71%

Our track record

In 3,055 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.7% of the time (bookmakers said 62.5%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 82%Bookmakers 86%

Our track record

In 1,741 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.4% of the time (bookmakers said 81.3%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong
Our model 52%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 1,229 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.4% of the time (bookmakers said 51.8%).

Getafe Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Getafe 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 82%Bookmakers 79%

Our track record

In 388 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.7% of the time (bookmakers said 80.6%).

Real Sociedad Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Real Sociedad 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 62%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 2,661 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.1% of the time (bookmakers said 63.8%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Getafe vs Real Sociedad 1-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Getafe vs Real Sociedad. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
La Liga - Spain
GetafeGetafe1
Real SociedadReal Sociedad2

Winner

X2 78%

BTTS*

No 57%

Correct Score

0-1 16%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 64%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 72%

Full Time

122%
X29%
249%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT37%63%64%36%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT72%28%92%8%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Getafe47%53%82%18%
Real Sociedad26%74%62%38%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Getafe96%4%99%1%
Real Sociedad85%15%95%5%

1st Half

117%
X52%
231%

1st Score

130%
X12%
258%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

25%

X-2

22%

X-X

21%

1-1

10%

X-1

9%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

1-2

2%

2-1

1%

Correct Score

0-1

16.1%

1-1

13.2%

0-0

11.7%

0-2

9.9%

1-0

9.2%

1-2

8.4%

2-1

5.1%

0-3

4.3%

1-3

4.1%

2-2

3.7%

2-0

3.6%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Málaga – Real Sociedad prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

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