1. Levante vs Atlético Madrid

Levante vs Atlético Madrid 0-0 Score & Prediction Review

La Liga - Season 2025/2026 (Round 22)

Fair result
LevanteLevante

0–0

Atlético MadridAtlético Madrid
0.8Chances (xG)1.0

On these chances Levante would usually take 1.1 points and Atlético Madrid 1.6; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Atlético Madrid.

Levante −0.1 pts vs chancesAtlético Madrid −0.6 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Levante vs Atlético Madrid stats: how the match was played

La Liga

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Atlético Madrid had more than twice the shots on target

Levante

Atlético Madrid

2

Shots on target

4

0

Big chances

1

4

Corners

7

2

Yellow cards

1

45%

Possession

55%

The match between Levante and Atlético Madrid ended 0-0. Our AI model predicted an Atlético Madrid win at 57% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Real Sociedad – Levante prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).

Levante vs Atlético Madrid — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · La Liga

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Atlético Madrid to win

Wrong
Our model 57%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 1,811 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.2% of the time (bookmakers said 61.3%).

Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Yes, both score.

Our model 51%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 3,143 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Over 2.5 goals.

Our model 52%Bookmakers 47%

Our track record

In 2,860 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 73%Bookmakers 69%

Our track record

In 4,587 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.5%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Atlético Madrid ahead at half-time.

Our model 42%Bookmakers 39%

Our track record

In 2,245 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.

Levante Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Levante 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 79%Bookmakers 72%

Our track record

In 837 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 74.0% of the time (bookmakers said 76.5%).

Atlético Madrid Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Atlético Madrid 2+ goals

Wrong
Our model 51%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 1,023 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.8% of the time (bookmakers said 59.3%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Levante vs Atlético Madrid 0-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Levante vs Atlético Madrid. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
LevanteLevante0
Atlético MadridAtlético Madrid0

Winner

2 57%

BTTS*

No 51%

Correct Score

0-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 51%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 63%

Full Time

119%
X24%
257%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT27%73%51%49%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT63%37%85%15%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Levante46%54%79%21%
Atlético Madrid19%81%49%51%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Levante94%6%99%1%
Atlético Madrid76%24%91%9%

1st Half

118%
X42%
239%

1st Score

132%
X8%
260%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

33%

X-2

19%

X-X

15%

1-1

10%

X-1

8%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

1-2

4%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

0-1

12.8%

1-1

11.0%

0-2

10.9%

1-2

9.8%

0-0

7.7%

1-0

6.3%

0-3

6.0%

1-3

5.7%

2-1

4.8%

2-2

4.5%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Real Sociedad – Levante prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).

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