Real Betis vs Valencia 2-1 Score & Prediction Review
La Liga - Season 2025/2026 (Round 22)
Real Betis2–1
ValenciaOn these chances Real Betis would usually take 1.6 points and Valencia 1.1; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Real Betis.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Real Betis vs Valencia stats: how the match was played
La Liga
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Valencia had more than twice the shots on target
Real Betis
Valencia
2
Shots on target
4
3
Big chances
2
3
Corners
5
0
Yellow cards
4
54%
Possession
46%
Real Betis vs Valencia — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · La Liga
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Real Betis to win
CorrectOur track record
In 2,490 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.7% of the time (bookmakers said 55.1%).
Our model’s pick
No, not both
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Yes, both score.
Our track record
In 3,145 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Over 2.5 goals.
Our track record
In 2,864 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 4,595 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.3% of the time (bookmakers said 71.5%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
CorrectOur track record
In 6,718 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.5% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).
Our model’s pick
Real Betis 0–1 goals
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Real Betis 2+ goals.
Our track record
In 1,873 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.7% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Valencia 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 2,594 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 74.7% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Real Betis vs Valencia 2-1 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Real Betis vs Valencia. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Real Betis2
Valencia1Winner
1 54%
BTTS*
No 51%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
Real Betis2Valencia1Winner
1 54%
BTTS*
No 51%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 28% | 72% | 54% | 46% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 65% | 35% | 86% | 14% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21% | 79% | 53% | 47% |
| 45% | 55% | 78% | 22% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 78% | 22% | 92% | 8% |
| 93% | 7% | 98% | 2% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
32%
X-1
20%
X-X
15%
2-2
12%
X-2
8%
2-X
5%
1-X
4%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-0
13.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-0
10.4%
2-1
9.5%
0-0
8.4%
0-1
6.6%
3-0
5.5%
1-2
5.2%
3-1
5.0%
2-2
4.3%
0-2
3.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score