FC Barcelona vs Racing Santander 7-2 Score & Prediction Review
La Liga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 6)
FC Barcelona7–2
Racing SantanderOn these chances FC Barcelona would usually take 2.9 points and Racing Santander 0.1; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: FC Barcelona.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →FC Barcelona vs Racing Santander stats: how the match was played
La Liga
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
FC Barcelona had more than twice the shots on target
FC Barcelona
Racing Santander
9
Shots on target
3
13
Big chances
3
18
Corners
0
3
Yellow cards
2
69%
Possession
31%
FC Barcelona vs Racing Santander — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · La Liga
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
FC Barcelona to win
CorrectOur track record
In 67 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 85.1% of the time (bookmakers said 82.8%).
Our model’s pick
No, not both
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Yes, both score.
Our track record
In 547 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 45.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.7% than to our 55–60%.
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 1,170 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.0% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Over 3.5 goals.
Our track record
In 183 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 44.4% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
FC Barcelona ahead at half-time
CorrectOur track record
Too few similar matches in the last 12 months for a track record.
Our model’s pick
FC Barcelona 2+ goals
CorrectOur track record
In 1,596 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.8% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).
Our model’s pick
Racing Santander 0–1 goals
WrongOur track record
In 600 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 85–90% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 85.3% of the time (bookmakers said 85.0%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
FC Barcelona vs Racing Santander 7-2 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for FC Barcelona vs Racing Santander. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
FC Barcelona7
Racing Santander2Winner
1 80%
BTTS*
No 55%
Correct Score
2-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 65%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 57%
FC Barcelona7Racing Santander2Winner
1 80%
BTTS*
No 55%
Correct Score
2-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 65%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 57%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 17% | 83% | 35% | 65% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 43% | 57% | 63% | 37% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8% | 92% | 26% | 74% |
| 68% | 32% | 90% | 10% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48% | 52% | 67% | 33% |
| 98% | 2% | 100% | 0% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
59%
X-1
17%
X-X
6%
2-1
4%
2-2
4%
1-X
3%
X-2
3%
2-X
3%
1-2
1%
Correct Score
2-0
11.6%
1-0
9.9%
3-0
9.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-1
6.4%
1-1
5.6%
0-0
4.4%
2-2
3.0%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score