1. Elche vs Celta de Vigo

Elche vs Celta de Vigo 0-0 Score & Prediction Review

La Liga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 8)

Fair result
ElcheElche

0–0

Celta de VigoCelta de Vigo
1.0Chances (xG)0.6

On these chances Elche would usually take 1.7 points and Celta de Vigo 1.0; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Celta de Vigo.

Elche −0.7 pts vs chancesCelta de Vigo 0.0 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Elche vs Celta de Vigo stats: how the match was played

La Liga

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Elche had more than twice the shots on target

Elche

Celta de Vigo

2

Shots on target

0

0

Big chances

1

5

Corners

2

1

Yellow cards

3

67%

Possession

33%

The match between Elche and Celta de Vigo ended 0-0. Our AI model predicted an Celta de Vigo win at 39% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Rayo Vallecano – Elche prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

Elche vs Celta de Vigo — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · La Liga

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Celta de Vigo to win

Wrong
Our model 39%Bookmakers 42%

Our track record

In 2,117 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 43.6% of the time (bookmakers said 44.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Yes, both score.

Our model 51%Bookmakers 45%

Our track record

In 3,142 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Over 2.5 goals.

Our model 58%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 817 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 55–60%.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 77%Bookmakers 71%

Our track record

In 3,683 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.9% of the time (bookmakers said 76.3%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct
Our model 42%Bookmakers 43%

Our track record

In 6,726 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Elche Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Elche 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 71%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 1,588 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Celta de Vigo Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Celta de Vigo 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 65%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 2,697 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.1% of the time (bookmakers said 63.8%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Elche vs Celta de Vigo 0-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Elche vs Celta de Vigo. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
ElcheElche0
Celta de VigoCelta de Vigo0

Winner

12 71%

BTTS*

No 51%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 58%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 67%

Full Time

131%
X29%
239%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT32%68%58%42%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT67%33%88%12%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Elche36%64%71%29%
Celta de Vigo30%70%65%35%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Elche90%10%97%3%
Celta de Vigo86%14%96%4%

1st Half

127%
X42%
231%

1st Score

142%
X10%
248%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

22%

1-1

18%

X-X

18%

X-2

14%

X-1

12%

2-X

7%

1-X

6%

1-2

2%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-1

13.1%

0-1

11.9%

0-0

10.3%

1-0

10.1%

1-2

7.9%

0-2

7.2%

2-1

6.9%

2-0

5.1%

2-2

5.0%

1-3

3.5%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Elche vs Celta de Vigo — Recent Form

Celta de Vigo have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 8th in the table. Elche have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 18th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Celta de VigoCelta de Vigo
W
D
W
D
D
ElcheElche
D
D
W
L
D

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Celta de VigoCelta de Vigo
1/5
ElcheElche
1/5

Both Teams to Score

Celta de VigoCelta de Vigo
3/5
ElcheElche
2/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Celta de VigoCelta de Vigo
4/5
ElcheElche
3/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Celta de VigoCelta de Vigo
4/5
ElcheElche
3/5

First Half Result

Celta de VigoCelta de Vigo
2/5
ElcheElche
3/5

Correct Score

Celta de VigoCelta de Vigo
1/5
ElcheElche
0/5
W
D
L
Last 5 Matches
correct predictionwrong prediction
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Rayo Vallecano – Elche prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

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